Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 8/16/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview

The forecast for Friday’s Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 PM ET. NESN will be televising Friday’s Red Sox game, while the Orioles are favored at -216 on the money line.

Boston comes in with a record of 63-57 and will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. They are +180 on the money line today. The Orioles are 72-50 and have won two straight. Cooper Criswell will be on the mound for the Red Sox, while Corbin Burnes will start for the Orioles.

Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Boston Red Sox odds

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Red Sox in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 6-4 against the runline.
• Looking at the Red Sox’s previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.

It was all Baltimore in the last game of this series, as the Orioles took down the Red Sox by a score of 5-1. The Orioles offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -150 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Zach Eflin for the Orioles and Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox. Eflin went six innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run, picking up a win in the game. Pivetta lasted just five innings and gave up three earned runs, taking the loss.

Baltimore’s two homers came from Gunnar Henderson and Cedric Mullins. Henderson, Mullins, and Colton Cowser each had two hits and an RBI for the Orioles’ offense.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston is on the road for today’s matchup vs. the Orioles, and they are looking to bounce back from back-to-back losses. Currently, the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, eight games behind the Orioles. Overall, the Red Sox are 63-57 and have gone 14-14 against other teams in the AL East.

At home, the Red Sox are 29-32 this year, and they have gone 34-25 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 29-32 this year and 34-25 when favored. The Red Sox have an overall series record of 20-13-5, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox on the road, it’s been a profitable endeavor, as they are 33-26 against the run line. Their average scoring margin on the road is +0.8 runs per game, and their average run differential in all games is +0.2. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 34-27, compared to 21-38 as a favorite.

When the Red Sox are on the road, the over has hit at a 21-13 clip when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 63-50. The average over/under line in their games this season is 9 runs, and 39.2% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Right-hander Cooper Criswell gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Criswell has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 4.02. So far, he has turned in just one quality start and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in two-thirds of an inning of work out of the bullpen. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Criswell has not taken the loss in any of his last four outings, finishing with a no-decision in each of them. His ERA on the road is 6.8 compared to 4.21 at home.

For the season, the Red Sox are the 4th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, and are batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. Boston comes into the game with the league’s best team BABIP of .33.

Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power hitter this season, as his 25 homers lead the team and is 11th best in the league. He also leads the team with 72 RBIs and is batting .296. Jarren Duran is 3rd on the team with 14 homers and has a batting average of .288. Over his last eight games, Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .385, while Wilyer Abreu has two homers in this stretch and is currently on a four-game hitting streak.

The Orioles are currently tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead, and they are leading the division on the series record, going 22-11-5. Overall, the Orioles are 72-50 and have won two straight games. Their two-game winning streak has come after dropping two straight, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Orioles are 36-26 this season and 36-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 60-39 this year and 12-11 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 33-23 as the favorite at home.

When the Orioles are favored, they are 51-48 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 16-7. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -3.5 in losing games. They are 31-31 against the run line at home and have covered in two straight games.

The Orioles have been a consistent over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 67-45, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 19-15 to the over. Their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs in 30.3% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he takes on the Red Sox at home. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 12-4 with a 2.71 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Burnes has been especially tough at home, coming in with a 2.15 ERA compared to 3.43 on the road.

So far this season, the Orioles offense is averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best isolated power in the league. As a team, they are batting .256.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 36 home runs are the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the MLB. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 3/21 in his last six games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 9/25 in his last six games, and is batting .289 for the season.

Our recommended pick for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout sitting at +180. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cooper Criswell finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters today. As for Corbin Burnes, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him just inside the top 10.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (+180)
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report