Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 8/16/2024

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Preview

Friday’s interleague matchup between the Mariners and Pirates is set to get started at 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA. The money line odds have the Pirates as the favorite at -128, while the Mariners are at +109. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.

Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Paul Skanes for the Pirates. Seattle is 63-59 this season, while the Pirates are 56-64. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Mariners are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Pirates have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• As the favorite, the Pirates are 7-3 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Mariners have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Tigers scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Seattle was the -141 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Tigers batters. However, the Mariners couldn’t close things out, and Andrés Muñoz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mariners also wasted a big game from Jarred Kelenic, who went 1-3 with a run scored.

Seattle is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Pirates, as they are 63-59 overall and trail the Astros by three games in the AL West. The Mariners lost the final three games of their series vs. the Tigers. So far, they have gone 19-13 in AL West play.

As the underdog, Seattle has dropped three straight, and they are 12-16 as the road underdog this year. The Mariners’ overall road record is 26-33. At home, they are 37-26 this season. Seattle’s series record is 17-20-2 heading into today’s game.

The Mariners have been a solid play on the run line this season, going 53-69 overall. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 27-36 on the run line. Seattle has been a favorite in 81 games this season, going 32-49 on the run line in those contests.

The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than the average over/under line for the Mariners this season. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-65 overall. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Mariners’ record is 11-17-4. The over has hit in 68.0% of their games this season, but they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Pirates. Gilbert has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 7-8. His ERA for the season is 2.91, along with a WHIP of .87. In his 24 appearances, Gilbert has turned in 19 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Gilbert picked up the win vs. the Mets, going seven innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 2.68 compared to 4-3 with a 5.0 ERA on the road.

Cal Raleigh has been struggling at the plate for the Mariners this season, batting just .214. However, he does lead the team with 26 home runs and 76 RBIs, which is 15th in the league. He has gone 4/18 over his last five games with two homers during that stretch. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .263 for the Mariners and is 2nd on the team with 11 homers.

As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game and are the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Overall, they are 12th in the league in home runs.

Pittsburgh is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 8-2 loss to San Diego, Joey Bart went 2/4 with a homer, and Bryan De La Cruz also had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. The Pirates really needed a big game from Mitch Keller, but he took the loss, going just five innings and giving up eight earned runs.

Keller’s struggles on the mound were the main reason the Pirates lost. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. The Pirates were the +116 underdog going into this road game.

Pittsburgh will host the Mariners today with an overall record of 56-64, and they are looking to snap a 10-game losing streak. The Pirates are 5th in the NL Central, and they trail the Brewers by 12.5 games. So far, they have gone 17-15 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Pirates are 27-31 this season compared to a 29-33 mark on the road. As the favorite, Pittsburgh has gone 24-21 and 32-43 as the underdog. The Pirates have dropped four straight at home, and their overall series record is 16-18-5. They lost their most recent series vs. the Padres.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.2. When they lose, they lose by an average of -3.3 runs. They have a run line record of 67-53 on the season, including a 30-28 mark at home and a 37-25 mark on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 50-25 against the run line in those games, compared to 17-28 as the favorite.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing at home against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Pirates have a 57-62 over/under record on the season, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, they have gone over in 4 of 6 games. Overall, 93.3% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.

Through 15 starts, Paul Skenes has a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 2.25. Skenes’ WHIP for the season is currently .96. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Skenes has a much better ERA on the road, coming in at 1.71 compared to 3.07 at home. The right-hander most recently faced the Dodgers, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 23rd in the league in runs scored, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. They have also been one of the league’s worst home run-hitting teams this season and are near the bottom of the league in terms of team slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are batting .235, which is 17th in the league.

Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, batting .285 with a team-high 19 home runs. He also leads the team with 69 RBIs. Reynolds is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Bryan De La Cruz and Oneil Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run leaderboard, with 18 homers apiece.

Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line at -128. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 7 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Gilbert is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while Pirates starter Paul Skenes is actually projected to finish with the most K’s on the day among all starters.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• Take the Pirates on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report