New York Mets vs Oakland Athletics Preview
Jose Quintana and the Mets (62-58) will host the Athletics today at Citi Field in New York, with the Athletics being 5th in the AL West and having an overall record of 51-70. Oakland is starting Mitch Spence, and the Mets are the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -180 compared to the Athletics at +151. First pitch is set for 1:10 PM ET, and the forecasted temperature is 74 degrees with partly cloudy skies.
New York comes into the game 3rd in the NL East, while the Athletics are 5th in the AL West. Today’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and NSPCA is carrying this game on TV.
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New York Mets vs. Oakland Athletics Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Athletics in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Mets have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Mets are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 6-4 vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Athletics have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.
New York cruised to a 9-1 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 7th inning, scoring six of their nine runs. As for the Athletics, they scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -223 on the money line.
David Peterson pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Joey Estes took the loss for Oakland, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor each homered for the Mets. Alonso, Lindor, and Miguel Andujar each had two RBIs. Alonso and Lindor scored three times for New York’s offense.
New York Mets vs Oakland Athletics Prediction
The Athletics are 14.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West, putting them in 5th place in the division. Overall, the Athletics are 51-70 and have gone 16-20 against other teams in the AL West. Oakland is looking to get back on track, having gone just 5-5 across their last 10 games.
As the road team today, the Athletics are 22-40 this season. At home, they are just above .500 at 29-30. So far, they have been much better as the underdog, as they are 40-66 in those games. As for their series record, the Athletics are 15-21-2 and have won two straight series.
The A’s have been a solid run line team this season, going 64-57 overall and 32-30 on the road. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 58-48 on the run line in those games. They have an average run margin of -0.6 runs per game this season.
The Oakland Athletics are on the road today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Athletics games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 55-64. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-22. The over has hit in three straight games for Oakland.
Mitch Spence gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and 26 total appearances. Spence’s record for the year is 7-8, and he comes in with an ERA of 4.33. In his 15 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Spence most recently faced the Blue Jays, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Although the Athletics offense has been one of the top home run hitting teams in the league this season, they are just 25th in runs scored, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Their team batting average of .231 is also towards the bottom of the league. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters, as Brent Rooker’s 29 homers are 8th in the league, and Shea Langeliers is 14th with 22 homers.
Rooker has been hot of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games, with two homers and four RBIs. He is also currently on a three-game hitting streak. Overall, Rooker is batting .293 this season with 83 RBIs. Langeliers’ batting average is just .224 for the season, but he is also 2nd on the team in RBIs.
The Mets are two games above .500 at 62-58 as they trail the Braves by two games for 2nd place in the NL East. Overall, they are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 20-16 against other teams in the NL East this season.
At home, the Mets are 31-30 this season and 31-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 39-32 this year and 23-26 as the underdog. The Mets have an overall series record of 19-15-7 this season.
When betting the run line, the Mets have been a better bet on the road than at home, where they are 26-35. Overall, they are 57-63 against the run line. They have an average run differential of 0.2 runs per game, and they have been a better bet when they are the underdog, going 28-21 against the run line.
The Mets are home to the Athletics today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Mets games this season is 9.4 runs, and their over/under record is 61-55. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-13. Overall, 25.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in three straight Mets games.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, and took the loss. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Quintana’s overall record is 6-8, and he has an ERA of 4.10. Opposing batters are hitting .233 off Quintana this season. Looking at his home/away splits, Quintana has an ERA of 5.99 on the road compared to 3.70 at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per game. As a team, they are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 5th best team slugging percentage in the MLB. New York’s offense is also one of the better hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .249.
Francisco Lindor comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone 9/21 in his last five games, including a home run. For the season, he is batting .263 with 23 homers and 69 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has gone deep 26 times this season, which is good for 10th in the league.
Our prediction for today’s Athletics vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Mets being -180, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs.
If you’re looking for a payout prediction, we have the Mets taking this one 6-5. Looking at today’s starters, we have Mitch Spence finishing with five strikeouts compared to Jose Quintana with five as well.
New York Mets vs Oakland Athletics Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Athletics (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Oakland Athletics Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | Out | Shoulder |
| Trevor Gott | Out | Elbow |
| Michael Kelly | Out | Suspension |
| Brent Rooker | Out | Personal |
| Esteury Ruiz | Out | Wrist |
| Luis Medina | Out | Elbow |
| Dany Jiménez | Out | Oblique |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Out | Wrist |
| Ken Waldichuk | Out | Arm |
| Jacob Wilson | Out | Hamstring |
