Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
At 8:10 PM ET, the Dodgers and Brewers square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Dodgers are the slight favorite on the money line (-127). The Brewers are +107 and have a losing streak of two games.
SNLA will be televising Tuesday’s game, and the Dodgers are currently on a four-game winning streak. They are 70-49 and 1st in the NL West, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 67-51. Colin Rea will start for the Brewers, and the Dodgers are sending Gavin Stone to the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Dodgers are 3-2. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Brewers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers are 7-3 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Dodgers vs Brewers series. Los Angeles went into the matchup as slight favorites at -116 and squeaked out a 5-2 win. The Dodgers offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out seven times, but still picked up a three-run win.
Milwaukee wasted a good outing from Freddy Peralta, as he gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work. Peralta did serve up two homers and finished the game with four strikeouts.
Clayton Kershaw got the start for the Dodgers, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is currently 70-49 overall and leads the NL West by 3.5 games over the Diamondbacks. They have won four straight games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Brewers. So far, they are 21-18 in divisional games.
As the road team today, the Dodgers are 32-27 this season compared to 38-22 at home. Los Angeles has been favored in most of their games, as they are 66-39 as the favorite. As for their record as the road favorite, they are 29-17 this year. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 22-17-1.
When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, the Dodgers have a run line record of 58-61, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. They are 30-29 against the run line on the road, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game.
The Dodgers have played in 33 games this season where the O/U line was set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 27-20. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their overall O/U record is 63-56. The average O/U line for their games this season has been set at 9 runs.
Gavin Stone gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Stone has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with an ERA of 3.71. So far, he has pitched one complete game shutout and has turned in eight quality starts. Stone’s ERA on the road is 4.93, and he has a record of 6-4 away from home. In his last outing, Stone finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, as Ohtani’s 36 homers are 2nd in the MLB, and Hernandez’s 26 round-trippers are 8th in the league. Ohtani is batting .298 for the season but has struggled of late, hitting just 7/37 in his last nine games. Hernandez, on the other hand, has gone 14/37 in his last nine games.
Overall, the Dodgers are 3rd in home runs and are 5th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 9th in the league, and are 2nd in team walks.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central with a record of 67-51, putting them 7.5 games ahead of the Cardinals. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, with their overall record being 25-14 against other teams in the NL Central.
So far, the Brewers have been good both at home and on the road, as they are 33-23 at home and 34-28 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee has gone 38-28 and 29-23 as the underdog. The Brewers have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 21-14-3 this year.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 35-27. However, they have struggled at home, going just 26-30. They have been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 35-17, but have struggled as the favorite, going just 26-40. They have a losing streak against the run line at home, failing to cover in their last three games.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Los Angeles Dodgers today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8, and their over/under record is 64-49. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-19. So far this season, 26 of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for 22.0% of their games.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. Rea has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-3 with a 3.38 ERA. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.28 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rea was fantastic, going seven innings and picking up the win. He didn’t give up a run in the outing and only allowed five hits. Looking back over his last three outings, Rea has finished with a no-decision in two of them. He has allowed two earned runs in each of those starts.
As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Milwaukee’s offense has been very good in terms of batting average and on-base percentage, as they are 5th in batting average and 2nd in OBP. Collectively, the Brewers have the 2nd best BABIP in the league.
Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Adames leading the team with 21 homers and Hoskins sitting at 20. Adames also comes into the game on a team-high 11 game hitting streak, during which he has gone 10/34 with four homers. William Contreras has also been a key power threat, as he has 14 homers and is batting .286.
Getting the Brewers at +107 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Dodgers vs. Brewers matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers, giving us some room to take them on the money line or even on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Stone finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Colin Rea, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which has him in the middle of the pack.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
| Blake Perkins | Out | Calf |
| Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| Trevor Megill | Out | Back |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
| Blake Treinen | Out | Hip |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
