Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Betting Tips 8/13/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Preview

Cleveland comes into this one with the Cubs as the favorites on the money line, as the Guardians have a line of -129 compared to the Cubs at -111. This interleague matchup has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The forecast for Tuesday’s game is 75 degrees with a few clouds.

Chicago is 59-61 this season, while the Guardians are 70-49 and have won three straight. Matthew Boyd will start for Cleveland, while the Cubs are sending Javier Assad to the mound. BSGL will be televising Tuesday’s Cubs vs. Guardians matchup.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Cubs are 3-2. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Guardians, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• As the favorite, the Guardians are 8-2 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Cubs’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 7-3 straight-up and 8-2 vs. the runline.

Cleveland rallied for four runs in the 4th inning in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians went into the game as +104 underdogs and picked up a 9-8 win over the Cubs. Heading into the game, the Cubs were favored at -122 on the money line.

The Guardians got to Cubs starter Shota Imanaga, who gave up three earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. As for the Guardians, Ben Lively only went 3 2/3 innings but gave up just three earned runs and got a no-decision.

Emmanuel Clase closed things out for the Guardians, while Julian Merryweather took the loss for the Cubs out of the bullpen.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

With a record of 59-61, the Cubs are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by nine games. So far, they have gone just 17-26 in divisional matchups. The Cubs have dropped the first game of their series vs. the Guardians and are 15-20-3 in series this year.

Chicago has won three straight series, and they are 7-3 overall in their last 10 games. This season, the Cubs have gone 32-27 at home compared to 27-34 on the road. As the underdog, Chicago has an even 32-32 record and have won two straight as the underdog overall.

When the Cubs win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their average run differential for the season is +0.1 runs per game, and they are 58-62 on the run line. Chicago is 35-26 vs. the run line on the road, where they have a -0.3 run differential. As the underdog, the Cubs are 43-21 on the run line this season.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Cubs have an over/under record of 53-63 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-13. Overall, 34 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.3% of their games this season.

Right-hander Javier Assad is getting the start for the Cubs today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 3.24. One issue for Assad has been his control, as he is averaging 4.12 walks per nine innings compared to 7.89 strikeouts. Assad’s most recent outing came against the Twins, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

So far this season, the Cubs offense has been pretty average, as they are 19th in runs per game and have the league’s 18th best team batting average. As a team, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Chicago’s offense has been led by Ian Happ, who is 13th in the league with 20 homers and has driven in a team-high 67 runs. However, he is batting just .230 for the season.

Over his last seven games, Dansby Swanson has gone 10/27, and Nico Hoerner is also on a good stretch, as he is on a three-game hitting streak. Miguel Amaya and Michael Busch are also on good streaks, with Amaya at three games and Busch at five.

Cleveland is hosting the Cubs today with an overall record of 70-49, which has them leading the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians have won three straight games, and this comes after going just 3-7 over their previous 10 games. So far, they are 21-17 in divisional games.

The Guardians have been good at home this year, coming in with a record of 36-20. On the road, they are 34-29 this season. Cleveland has been favored in 73 of their games, going 48-25 in those games. As for their record as the home favorite, the Guardians are 31-14 this year. This season, their overall series record is 22-11-5.

The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 59-60 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 33-30 compared to 26-30 at home. As the favorite, they have struggled to cover the run line, going 32-41, while they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 27-19. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ home game against the Chicago Cubs. The Guardians have played 111 games this season, and 58 of them have gone over the total. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, Cleveland’s games have gone over the total 17 times and under the total 15 times. Overall, the Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season.

Coming off a season in which he made 15 starts, Matthew Boyd will be looking to build on his record of 5-5. Last season, Boyd made three quality starts and allowed a total of 11 home runs. His ERA for the season was 5.45, and he finished the year with an OPS allowed of .726. Boyd’s WHIP for the season was 1.32, and his FIP allowed was 4.35. In terms of strikeouts, Boyd averaged 9.25 per nine innings and finished the season with a K/BB ratio of 2.9. Overall, Boyd averaged 1.7 walks per game and finished the season with a batting average allowed of .245.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been a strong 1-2 punch in the Cleveland lineup this season, as Ramirez’s 31 homers are 4th in the league and Naylor’s 26 round-trippers are 8th in the MLB. Ramirez also has 97 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league, and Naylor is 5th in the league with 87 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Ramirez is hitting .341 with three homers, while Naylor has also gone deep three times but is batting just .237 in that stretch.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are batting a collective .241. They have been a good home offense this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in the league in home runs and have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Guardians game is that the Guardians will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the Guardians being our predicted winner, taking them on the money line at -129 is our recommended pick for this game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Javier Assad is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is one of the lowest among today’s starters. Assad is also projected to give up five earned runs, which is the ninth worst among today’s starters.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips

• Take the Guardians on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Chicago Cubs Injury Report