Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 8/12/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Preview

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Rangers and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. Monday’s forecast in Boston calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 70s. The Red Sox are favored on the money line (-135), while the odds have the Rangers at +115. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET, and ESPN is carrying this one on TV.

Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Tyler Mahle for the Rangers. Boston comes in with a record of 61-55, while the Rangers are 55-63 overall. Texas is currently 3rd in the AL West, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Rangers are 1-4. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Red Sox have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• The Red Sox have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Rangers have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with an 8-7 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Yankees scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Texas was the +124 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Offensively, the Rangers scored their eight runs on json12 hits and only hit two home runs. Carson Kelly went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs, and Nathaniel Lowe was only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run. The Rangers also had three players with two hits.

Texas will be on the road today to take on the Red Sox with an overall record of 55-63, putting them 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by 7.5 games for the 2nd spot in the division. This year, they are just 14-18 in divisional games.

The Rangers have dropped five straight series, and their overall series record is 15-22-1 this year. At home, they are 31-27 compared to 24-36 on the road. As the favorite, the Rangers are 36-28 and 19-35 as the underdog. Texas closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a win but still lost the series, going 3-7 in their last 10 games.

When the Rangers win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. They have a run line record of 50-68 overall, including a 26-34 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games overall and as an underdog.

The Rangers have been on a bit of an over streak lately, with their last two games going over the total. On the season, their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 53-61. The over/under line for today’s game against the Red Sox is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their average line of 9 runs per game. So far this season, their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs eight times, and they have gone over the total in six of those games.

Tyler Mahle will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Rangers, and he’ll be on the road against the Red Sox. In his first start, Mahle took the loss against the Astros, going 5 innings and allowing 1 earned run on 5 hits.

Corey Seager has been on a tear of late for the Rangers, going 11/38 with six homers and 11 RBIs over his last nine games. For the season, Seager leads the Rangers with 61 RBIs and is batting .274. His 25 homers is 8th in the league and the best mark on the team. Adolis García is right behind him with 18 homers, but he is batting just .220 for the season.

Overall, the Rangers offense is 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in most key offensive categories, including batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. As a team, they are 14th in the league in homers.

Boston closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 10-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the +123 underdog at home. Things really got away from the Red Sox in the 4th inning, as the Astros scored five runs in the inning. Boston’s offense scored their only two runs in the 3rd.

James Paxton got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted two-thirds of an inning, giving up two runs on two hits. Ceddanne Rafaela pitched well in relief, going two scoreless innings and striking out three. The Red Sox’s offense was carried by Rafaela, who went 2/3 with a run scored.

Boston opens their series vs. the Rangers having lost four straight games, and they are 61-55 overall. In the AL East, they are 7.5 games behind the Orioles and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 14-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Red Sox are 27-31 this season, and they are 34-24 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 32-24 and 29-31 as the underdog. The Red Sox have dropped three straight at home, and they are 19-14-5 in series this year.

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 33-25 compared to 21-37 at home. Boston’s average run margin for the season is +0.2, but that number drops to -0.6 at home. The Red Sox have lost three straight against the run line at home and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 34-26 against the run line in those games.

Today’s game between the Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers has an over/under line of 9.5 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-49. When the over/under line is set at 9.5, their record is 7-8. Overall, 74.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today and will be looking to improve on his overall record of 10-5 and ERA of 5.16. So far this season, he has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .268 off the right-hander. Bello has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Bello has not taken a loss or a win in his last four outings, finishing with a no-decision in each.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .261, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Boston is also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, coming in 7th in the league. Collectively, the Red Sox are tough to strike out, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 28th best mark in the league.

Rafael Devers has been a force in the lineup this season, leading the team with a .300 batting average and 71 RBIs, which is also the best mark on the team. His 25 homers are also the best on the team and 8th best in the league. Jarren Duran has been solid as well, batting .291 with 14 homers. Tyler O’Neill has 22 homers this season and is batting .268.

Our predicted score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Rangers, which is why we recommend taking them on the money line, where you can get them at +115. We do have the Rangers finishing with more hits than the Red Sox and also have them finishing with more home runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Mahle is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and Brayan Bello is projected to finish with six as well. However, we have Mahle finishing with a better line and are giving him the edge in terms of picking up the win.

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips

• We like the Rangers on the moneyline (+115)
• The Rangers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Texas Rangers Injury Report