Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 8/8/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Braves will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak when they host the Brewers today at Truist Park in Atlanta. However, they are facing a Brewers club that has won two straight and is 64-49 overall, putting them in 1st place in the NL Central.

Thursday’s forecast in Atlanta calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 70s. First pitch is set for 12:20 PM ET. Charlie Morton is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against a Brewers team that is starting Frankie Montas. Milwaukee is the slight favorite on the money line, with the Braves’ odds sitting at -144 compared to the Brewers at +122. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and BSSO is carrying this game on TV.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Brewers have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Braves have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
• The Braves have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Chris Sale, as he went just 4 2/3 innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. The Braves starter did finish the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. As for Milwaukee, Freddy Peralta got the win despite going just five innings and giving up four earned runs.

It was a high-scoring game in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took it 8-5. Milwaukee’s offense was led by Blake Perkins, Joey Ortiz, Jackson Chourio, and Rhys Hoskins, as they each had three hits and combined for six RBIs.

Atlanta’s biggest offensive performance came from Austin Riley, who went 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Riley’s homer came in the first inning and gave the Braves an early 2-0 lead.

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee is on a two-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers are 64-49 overall and have gone 31-21 at home and 33-28 on the road.

As the road underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 22-15 this year, and they are 28-22 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee’s series record is 19-14-3 this year, and they have dropped three straight series.

When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 34-27 this season. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 34-16 against the run line.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Brewers have an over/under record of 62-46 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. The over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs per game overall, but when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 4-3. The over has hit in their last two games.

Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 5-8 with a 5.03 ERA. Montas’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.45. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas most recently faced the Nationals, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings.

Over his last 10 games, Rhys Hoskins has gone 13/39 with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie for the team lead in homers (19), and he is 3rd on the team with 57 RBIs. Jackson Chourio has also been hot of late, batting .366 over his last nine games, including two homers. Chourio has 46 RBIs this season, which is 4th on the team.

Willy Adames is also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, as he has 19 homers this season, which is good for 9th in the league. Adames’ 75 RBIs are the best mark on the team. As a team, the Brewers are 4th in batting average and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.

With a record of 60-53, the Braves are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have dropped four straight games, and these have come by losing the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers. So far, they have gone 18-16 in divisional games.

At home, the Braves are 32-25 this season compared to 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 53-42 this season and 7-11 when listed as the underdog. Atlanta has dropped four straight games as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 19-13-5, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.3 runs per game. This season, Atlanta is 51-62 against the run line, including a 23-34 mark at home. As the favorite, the Braves are just 42-53 against the run line.

When the Atlanta Braves play at home, the over/under line is typically set lower than the 9.5 runs for their game against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Braves have a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game, and their games have gone over the total in 41 of 108 games this season. The over has hit in four of the eight games this season when the line has been set at 9.5 runs.

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Marlins, he only gave up five hits and issued two walks. Looking back over his last four outings, Morton has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.94 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Morton this year, and his WHIP for the season is 1.25.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ best hitter this season, as he is batting .297 and has a team-high 32 home runs and 86 RBIs. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 18 homers this season but is batting just .229. Olson has gone deep three times in his last nine games, but he is hitting just .258 over that stretch.

Atlanta’s offense has been good at hitting home runs this season, but they are just 21st in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.2 runs per game. The Braves are also one of the worst teams in the league in terms of striking out and have been below average in terms of getting on base and in terms of their team batting average.

Our predicted final score for this Braves vs. Brewers matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Braves. Given that they are at home and you can get them straight up on the money line at -144, this is the route we recommend going.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Charlie Morton finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for third among all starters. As for Frankie Montas, we have him finishing with five K’s, which has him at 10th.

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report