Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 8/3/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

First pitch for this interleague matchup between the Phillies and Mariners is set for 9:40 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Phillies are 65-44 and they are starting Orion Kerkering. The Mariners are 58-53 and they have Bryce Miller on the mound. Seattle is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -129 compared to the Phillies at +109.

NSPPH will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. Philadelphia comes in on a five-game losing streak and is 1st in the NL East, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• The Phillies are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Mariners have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Mariners have a straight-up record of 4-6, while going 4-6 against the runline.
• The Phillies have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Thanks to a seven-run 2nd inning for the Mariners’ offense, they cruised to a 10-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -114 on the money line.

Seattle got to Phillies starter Tyler Phillips, who gave up eight earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Mariners, they got a good outing from Bryan Woo, who gave up just two hits and no earned runs across seven innings of work and got the win.

At the plate, the Mariners were led by Justin Turner, Victor Robles, and Mitch Haniger, as they were the only three Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Turner and Luke Raley each homered for Seattle’s offense.

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

With an overall record of 65-44, the Phillies lead the NL East by five games over the Braves. The Phillies are hoping to snap a five-game losing streak today, and they have dropped five straight games to the Mariners. Philadelphia has gone 15-10 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies have been strong this year, going 38-21. On the road, the Phillies are 27-23 this season. As the underdog, the Phillies are 8-9 this year, and they are 57-35 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-13-5 but have dropped five straight series.

Philadelphia is 25-25 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. The Phillies are 8-9 against the run line as the underdog this season, and their average run differential in their wins is +3.9.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 50-54. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Phillies are 7-11 on the over/under this season. The over has hit in four straight Phillies games.

Right-hander Orion Kerkering is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Kerkering has made 41 appearances this season and has a record of 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. Kerkering most recently pitched on July 30th, where he took the loss after giving up one earned run in one inning of work out of the bullpen. Before that outing, he had put together three straight appearances without giving up an earned run. Kerkering has allowed a home run in two of his last three outings.

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and they have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. The Phillies are also one of the top teams in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Over his last five games, Alec Bohm has gone 6/20, and he is currently batting .297 for the season. Bohm’s 73 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are also at the top of the Phillies’ home run leaderboard, with Harper’s 24 homers leading the team and Schwarber’s 22 long balls being the 2nd best mark.

Seattle is 58-53 overall this season, and they are in 2nd place in the AL West. The Mariners are currently tied with the Astros for the division lead. So far, they have gone 19-13 in AL West matchups. The team is coming off a loss in their most recent game but have gone 5-5 across their last ten.

At home, the Mariners are 32-23 this season, and they are just under .500 at 26-30 on the road. This year, the Mariners have been the favorite in 72 games, and they have gone 39-33 in those games. As for their time as the underdog, they are 19-20 this year. Seattle’s overall series record is 15-18-2, and they have dropped five straight series at home.

Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, as the Mariners are 50-61 overall. They have been a slightly better bet at home, going 24-31. Their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, and they have an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game at home. Seattle has been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 21-18, compared to 29-43 as the favorite.

The Seattle Mariners will be hosting the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.7, and their over/under record is 48-58. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mariners have gone over in 11 of 14 games. Overall, only 9.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.46 ERA. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.03, and opponents are batting .212 off him this year. In his last outing, Miller picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had a streak of three straight starts without giving up an earned run. Miller has allowed a total of 16 home runs this year. At home, his ERA is 2.07 compared to 5.83 on the road.

Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top run producer this season, as his 67 RBIs is 1st on the team and 12th in the league. He is also 10th in the league with 23 home runs. However, he is batting just .214 this season. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .263 for the Mariners and has gone deep 11 times this season.

Seattle’s offense is averaging just 4 runs per game and is near the bottom of the league in both team batting average and on-base percentage. They also have the worst team slugging percentage in the league. The Mariners are hoping that Jorge Polanco can keep his recent hot streak going, as he has four homers in his last nine games and is batting .242.

Our pick for today’s Phillies vs. Mariners game is to take the Mariners on the money line at -129. We actually have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryce Miller of the Mariners is projected to pick up the win, and his chances are the sixth best among starters today. However, his projected innings are on the lower side, and he is also predicted to finish with just five strikeouts.

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• Take the Mariners on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Phillies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report