Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 7/29/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Preview

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Mariners and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. Monday’s forecast in Boston calls for moderate rain and temperatures in the low 60s. The money line odds have the Red Sox as the favorite at -124, while the Mariners are at +106. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and RSNW will be televising the game. Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners, and he will be facing off against Nick Pivetta. Seattle is 56-51, while the Red Sox are 55-49. Boston is currently on a two-game losing streak, and they are 3rd in the AL East, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mariners have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• In the Red Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Red Sox have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• The Mariners have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Seattle closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 6-3 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Mariners, as they scored two runs, and added another run in the 2nd to take a 3-0 lead. The White Sox pulled to within one run with a 3rd inning homer, but Seattle scored another three runs in the 4th to put things out of reach.

Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Seattle is on a three-game winning streak, and they will be looking to keep it going today on the road vs. the Red Sox. The Mariners are 56-51 overall, and they are tied with the Astros for the AL West lead. Seattle’s overall series record is 15-17-2, and they have lost five straight series at home.

At home, the Mariners are 31-23 this year, and they have gone 25-28 on the road. As the road underdog, the Mariners are 12-14 this season, and they have won three straight as the road underdog. Seattle’s overall record as the underdog is 19-19, and they are 37-32 when favored.

Seattle has been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 48-59, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 25-28. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and in two straight games as an underdog. In their wins, they have outscored opponents by an average of 3.3 runs per game, while in their losses, they have been outscored by an average of 3.1 runs per game.

The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 7.5. Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 45-57, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 10 of their 13 games. The over has also hit in their last three games.

Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Gilbert has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 2.72 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gilbert has a WHIP of .86 and has issued just 1.68 walks per nine innings. In his last outing, Gilbert took the loss, giving up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gilbert has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-2 and 3.30 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 3.07 ERA at home.

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot in the Mariners lineup this season, as he leads the team with 22 home runs and has driven in 66 runs, which is 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .216. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .263 this season and is 4th on the team with 11 homers. Randy Arozarena has also been a solid power threat, with 15 homers, but is batting just .215.

Over their last nine games, Jorge Polanco and Victor Robles have been swinging the bats well, with Polanco going 10/35 (.286) with four homers and Robles hitting .400. Polanco and Robles are also on four-game hitting streaks.

Heading into their last game vs. the Yankees, the Red Sox closed out the series with an 8-2 loss. Boston was actually the slight favorite at -106 on the money line. Things really got away from the Red Sox in the 4th inning, as the Yankees scored three runs in the inning. Boston’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.

Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Rob Refsnyder had a homer for the Red Sox but went just 1/4. Connor Wong also had a good game at the plate, going 1/4 with a run scored.

Boston will host the Mariners with an overall record of 55-49, and they are 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. The Red Sox dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees, losing the series 2-1. So far, they are 14-13 in AL East matchups.

As the Red Sox take on the Mariners, they have dropped two straight games, and they are just 3-7 over their last ten. This season, they are 25-27 at home compared to 30-22 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 31-22 and 24-27 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox’s overall series record is 16-13-5, and they have dropped three straight series.

When the Red Sox are favored, they are 19-34 against the run line and 29-22 when they are the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.1 runs per game, while their average run differential in losing games is -4.2 runs per game. They are 48-56 against the run line overall this season.

When the Boston Red Sox are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 17 of their 29 games with that line this season. The Red Sox have the highest combined run average in the league at 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 51-47. Their last four games have gone over the total, and the average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs.

Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies. In that start, he gave up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Pivetta took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had pitched well, not giving up an earned run in three straight starts. Pivetta’s ERA for the season is 4.50, along with a record of 4-7. Out of his 16 starts, Pivetta has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 15 homers.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 8th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in the league in batting average (.258) and have the top team BABIP in the league. Boston’s offense has been led by Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively. Devers’ 64 RBIs is 13th best in the league.

Both Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been swinging the bat well of late, with Duran going 18/46 in his last 10 games with three homers, and O’Neill also has six homers in his last nine games. Masataka Yoshida, Rafael Devers, and Rob Refsnyder are all on five-game hitting streaks.

Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -124. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under line, which is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nick Pivetta finishing with seven strikeouts, which is one of the best among starting pitchers today. As for Logan Gilbert, we have him finishing with six K’s.

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
• The Red Sox should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report