Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 7/28/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Preview

From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have the Orioles and Padres facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 1:35 PM ET. MASN will be televising this game, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-160).

The over/under line for this game is currently at 9.5 runs, and the Padres will be looking to extend their seven-game win streak. They are 57-50 and their money line odds are at +135. Today’s starting pitching matchup is Randy Vasquez for the Padres and Albert Suarez for the Orioles.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• 5-0 is the record of Padres in their last five road games. They have also gone 5-0 vs. the runline.
• In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have won 3-7 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Padres have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

San Diego cruised to a 9-4 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only four runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -113 on the money line.

Michael King got the win for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. Dean Kremer had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up seven hits and one earned run.

Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts each had three hits and three RBIs for the Padres’ offense. Jurickson Profar scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Jackson Merrill also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Prediction

San Diego is on a seven-game winning streak, and they are 57-50 overall this season. The Padres are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead, and they are 2nd in the division. So far, they have gone just 15-17 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are 26-28 this year, and they have gone 31-22 on the road. San Diego has won seven straight games as the road team and are 20-13 as road underdogs this year. The Padres’ overall series record is 19-13-3, and they have won two straight series overall and four straight series on the road.

The Padres have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 57-50 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 38-15. They have covered the run line in seven straight road games and in four straight games as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, compared to -3.6 in their losses.

The Padres are on the road against the Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 56-50. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Padres’ record is 6-2. This season, only 3.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their over/under streak is currently at 2 games.

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.17. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.49. In his 14 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he went six innings and got the win. Vásquez has only allowed one homer in his last three outings.

So far this season, the Padres have been the best-hitting team in the league, with a batting average of .263. They have also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as they come into the game ranked 10th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. San Diego’s team on-base percentage is .323, and they have the league’s best slugging percentage.

Jurickson Profar has been on a tear of late, going 10/26 in his last six games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .304 with 18 homers and 66 RBIs. Profar’s 66 RBIs are the 10th most in the league. Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. are also tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers.

The Orioles are 61-43 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. Currently, they lead the Yankees by one game for the top spot in the division. Baltimore is on a two-game losing streak, dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Padres. In the AL East, they have been great, putting up a mark of 20-9.

At home, the Orioles are 30-24 this season, and they have gone 31-19 on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore is 49-34 this season, and they are 12-9 when listed as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 21-9-3.

When the Orioles win, they win big. They have an average run margin of +3.8 in their victories, but when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5. Baltimore is 55-49 against the run line this season, including a 25-29 mark at home. The Orioles have been a better bet on the road, going 30-20 vs. the run line. They are 40-43 vs. the run line as the favorite and 15-6 as the underdog.

The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home against the San Diego Padres today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Orioles have had a combined run average of 9.1 runs in their games this season, and their over/under record is 55-39. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Orioles have gone over in all three games. Overall, 97.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9.5-run total.

Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.48 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Suárez has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed five homers at home and 3.24 walks per nine innings.

So far this season, the Orioles’ offense is averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Baltimore’s offense has been the league’s best home run hitting team this season and also lead the MLB in isolated power. As a team, they are batting .252 and have the league’s top slugging percentage.

Anthony Santander has really been swinging a hot bat for the Orioles, hitting six homers in his last nine games while going 12/38 (.316). For the season, he is batting .242 with 29 home runs. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big power threat, hitting 28 homers and batting .284.

Our pick for today’s Padres vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -160. We see this being a close game, with our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Orioles.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Albert Suarez of the Orioles with the third-best strikeout projection among starters, finishing with seven K’s. As for Randy Vasquez of the Padres, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which ranks towards the bottom of today’s starters.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Padres (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report