Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 7/27/2024

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview

The Red Sox host the Yankees today at Fenway Park in Boston, and they’ll be looking to move above .500 for the season. However, they come into the game as the slight underdog on the money line, with the Yankees being favored (-111). The money line odds are currently at -108 for the Red Sox.

First pitch for this AL East matchup is set for 7:15 PM ET, and FOX will be televising the game. Marcus Stroman is starting for the Yankees, and they are facing the Red Sox, who will start Kutter Crawford. New York is currently on a three-game losing streak, and the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, while the Yankees are 2nd.

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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• In the Red Sox’s five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• The Yankees are 3-7 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
• In their last ten games, the Red Sox have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.

Boston rallied for three runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Yankees series. The Red Sox scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +102 on the money line.

New York wasted a good outing from Nestor Cortes, as he gave up just four hits and four runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Yankees. Luke Weaver took the loss out of the bullpen. Bailey Horn got the win for the Red Sox out of the bullpen as well.

Offensively, the Red Sox outhit the Yankees in the game 14 to 14. Both teams had just one home run. Boston’s top hitter was Ceddanne Rafaela, who went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 60-45 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-22 in divisional play. New York is on a three-game losing streak, dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Red Sox and losing the final game of their previous series vs. the Rays.

At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this season, and they have gone 33-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 46-39 this season, and they have gone 14-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 18-10-4.

The Yankees have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 31-24. They have been outscoring opponents by an average of 1.3 runs per game away from home, and their average run margin in winning games is +4.1. They have covered the run line in 16 of 20 games as an underdog.

The New York Yankees are on the road against the Boston Red Sox today, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-46. Their games have typically had lower over/under lines, with an average line of 8 runs per game. However, when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 6 of their 9 games.

New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 3.51. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. Out of his 20 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 6.77 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Stroman took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that outing, he had given up five earned runs in back-to-back starts. Stroman has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.91 compared to 2-4 with a 4.76 ERA at home.

Not only are the Yankees the best offense in the league in terms of runs scored, but they also lead the MLB in home runs. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 8th in the league, and they also do a good job of working the count, as they are the top walk team in the league. New York is especially good at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game.

Right fielder Juan Soto has been on fire of late, going 15/39 in his last nine games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .307 with 26 homers and 72 RBIs. Aaron Judge is the MLB’s leading home run hitter this season, and his 92 RBIs are also the best in the league. Judge is batting .306 for the season.

Boston is 55-47 overall and is 5.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 2 games for the second spot in the AL East. The Red Sox are 14-11 against other AL East teams this year.

At home, the Red Sox are an even 25-25 this year, and they are 30-22 on the road. So far, they have gone 31-21 as the favorite and 24-26 as the underdog. Boston has won three straight at home, and their overall series record is 15-12-5. The Red Sox are winning the series vs. the Yankees and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Red Sox win, they do so by an average of 4.1 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs. Boston is 48-54 against the run line this season, with a run line record of 19-31 at home and 29-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 19-33 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 29-21.

The Boston Red Sox are currently playing at home against the New York Yankees, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 49-47. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 6-7. Overall, 10 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, which accounts for 9.8% of their games. The Red Sox have gone over the total in their last two games.

Boston is sending Kutter Crawford to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers. In that start, he gave up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Crawford’s ERA for the season is 3.37, along with a record of 6-8. Opponents have hit .215 off the right-hander this season. Crawford has made 20 starts, 11 of which were quality starts. His ERA at home is 3.90 compared to 3.21 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .258, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Boston has been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season and have the best BABIP in the league.

Left fielder Jarren Duran and third baseman Rafael Devers have been swinging the bat well of late, with Duran hitting .370 over his last six games and Devers is on a three-game hitting streak. Duran has gone deep twice in his last six games and is 3rd on the team with 51 RBIs. Devers is 12th in the league with 64 RBIs and leads the Red Sox with 23 homers.

With the Red Sox at -108 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kutter Crawford has the best chances of picking up a win today and is projected to finish with five strikeouts. As for Marcus Stroman, his chances of getting a win are good, but his projected innings are not great, and he is projected to finish with four strikeouts.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (-108)
• On the run line we like Red Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Boston Red Sox Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report