Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 7/27/2024

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Preview

From Comerica Park in Detroit, we have the Twins and Tigers facing off in an AL Central matchup. The Tigers are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -119 compared to the Twins at +101. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.

Joe Ryan will be on the mound for the Twins, as he is facing off against Tarik Skubal for the Tigers. The Twins are 2-0 over their last two games, while the Tigers have won four of their last five.

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Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• The Twins are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• In the Tigers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 5-0 against the spread.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Tigers have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Twins have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Tigers by a score of 9-3. The Twins offense only had four more hits than the Tigers and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -187 on the money line.

Detroit got on the board first with one run in the 3rd inning, but the Twins responded with two runs in the 4th and added three more in the 6th. As for the Tigers, they scored their final two runs in the 7th. Both teams went scoreless in the 8th and 9th.

Pablo Lopez started for the Twins and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and allowed just one home run. Keider Montero had a rough outing for the Tigers, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

With an overall record of 57-45, the Twins are 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. Minnesota is 20-13 against other teams in the division. The Twins have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

So far, the Twins have been good both at home and on the road, as they are 29-21 at home and 28-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 45-26 this year, and they are 22-9 as the favorite on the road. Minnesota’s overall series record is 20-11-1, and they are currently up 1-0 in their series vs. the Tigers.

The Twins have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 49-53 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 29-23. They are currently on a three-game run line win streak on the road. Their average run differential on the season is +0.5 runs per game.

Minnesota is on the road today against the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-48. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 4-4. This season, 91 of their games have had over/under lines set above 7 runs, which accounts for 89.2% of their games. They have gone over the total in their last two games.

Right-hander Joe Ryan is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Ryan’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those outings was vs. the Astros, where he gave up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. Ryan has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Minnesota’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 6th in runs per game (4.9), and have the 5th best team batting average in the league at .253. They have also been one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, coming into the game 7th in the league in homers. The Twins are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Carlos Correa comes into the game with a team-high 13 home runs and is batting .308 for the season. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are tied for the team lead with 47 RBIs, with Jeffers batting just .234 and Santana at .243. Max Kepler has gone 8/25 in his last six games and is also on a six-game hitting streak.

Detroit is 51-54 overall, putting them 4th in the AL Central, 12 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 18-16 in divisional games. The Tigers dropped the first game of this series vs. the Twins and are 14-14-4 in series this year.

At home, the Tigers are 24-25 this year compared to 27-29 on the road. Detroit has been slightly better as the underdog, where they are 29-34 this year. As the favorite, the Tigers have gone 22-20 this year. Detroit’s overall record has been helped by going 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 53-52 against the run line overall, but they’ve been much better on the road, going 33-23. They are just 20-29 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of -0.2 runs per game. They are also much better against the run line as the underdog, going 41-22, compared to just 12-30 as the favorite.

The Detroit Tigers are hosting the Minnesota Twins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Tigers games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 57-45. The average over/under line for Tigers games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 5-5. This season, 93 of the Tigers’ games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 88.6% of their games. Only 2 of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 7 runs, which is just 1.9% of their games.

Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today and is facing the Twins at home. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 11-3 with a 2.34 ERA. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .92, and opponents are batting .198 off him this year. Skubal has made 15 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, he finished with six strikeouts. Skubal has only allowed one earned run in each of his last three outings.

For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is also their home and road splits. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 18th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of just .298 (23rd). Detroit’s team OPS of .685 is also 22nd in the MLB.

Riley Greene has been a bright spot for the Tigers this season, as he is batting .264 with a team-high 17 home runs and 51 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Matt Vierling has gone 8/28 with one homer. However, Javier Baez and Justyn-Henry Malloy have both struggled of late, with Baez batting just .174 and Malloy at .182 over their last six games.

Our prediction for this Twins vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at -119. We have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tarik Skubal finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters.

As for Joe Ryan, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is seventh among today’s starters. Looking at the Twins lineup, they are projected to finish with just eight hits, which is the third lowest in the league today.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• Take the Tigers on the moneyline
• The Tigers should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Detroit Tigers Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report