Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Preview
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Tigers and Guardians facing off in an AL Central matchup. First pitch for Wednesday’s matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET. The money line odds have the Guardians at -150, while the Tigers are the slight underdog at +127. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 77 degrees with light rain.
Jack Flaherty will get the start for the Tigers, and he is facing off against Tanner Bibee for the Guardians. Flaherty is 50-52, and the Tigers are 4th in the AL Central, while the Guardians are 1st in the division with a record of 60-40. The game can be seen on BSDET.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Detroit Tigers odds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- The Tigers are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 5-0 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Guardians have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Guardians have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Tigers’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 7-3 straight-up and 10-0 vs. the runline.
Detroit wasted a good outing from Tyler Holton, as he went just 1 2/3 innings but didn’t give up a run as the Tigers starter vs. the Indians. Cleveland went on to win the game 5-4 at home. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -135 on the money line.
Xzavion Curry only went 4 1/3 innings for the Indians but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished with one more strikeout (5) than innings pitched. Emmanuel Clase closed things out for Cleveland, getting the save.
At the plate, Jose Ramirez and Jhonkensy Noel each homered for the Indians, while Steven Kwan scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/3. Wenceel Perez had a two-run homer for the Tigers.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit is 50-52 overall and 4th in the AL Central, 11 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 17-14 against other teams in the AL Central. The Tigers have been playing well recently, going 7-3 over their last ten games.
At home, the Tigers are an even 24-24 this year, and they have gone 26-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Tigers are 28-32 this year, and they are 19-23 as the road underdog. Detroit has won four straight series, and their overall series record is 14-13-4 this year.
The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 51-51 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 31-23 against the run line. They have covered the run line in eight straight road games and have been a strong bet as the underdog, going 39-21 against the run line in those games.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Tigers have had a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-43. They have played 65 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 16-10. Their current over streak is at five games.
Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.13 ERA. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently .96. In his last outing, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Looking back further, Flaherty has won three of his last four starts. The right-hander has been excellent on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.88. At home, his ERA is 3.52.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. This is also their team batting average for the season, and they are 15th in the league in home runs. Detroit’s team on-base percentage of .299 is 22nd in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. However, their team ISO of .156 is right around the league average.
Riley Greene has been a big power threat for the Tigers this season, as he is 13th in the league with 17 home runs. Greene is also hitting .268 for the season and has driven in 51 runs. Matt Vierling has the 2nd most RBIs on the team (41) and is batting .254 for the season. Vierling has gone 11/34 over his last eight games.
Cleveland is 60-40 overall this season, and they lead the AL Central by five games over the Twins. The Guardians will take on the Tigers today, and they are 32-14 at home this season. However, they have gone just 28-26 on the road.
The Guardians have dropped seven of their last ten games, and they are currently tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Tigers. As the favorite, Cleveland is 44-22 this year, and they are 29-12 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 19-10-2, and they have dropped three straight series.
When betting on the Cleveland Guardians this season, it has been a coin flip against the run line, as they are 49-51. They have been slightly better at covering the run line at home, going 22-24. The Guardians have a positive run differential on the season at +0.8 runs per game, and they have been better at covering the run line as the underdog, going 20-14.
The Cleveland Guardians are playing at home against the Detroit Tigers today, with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 49-45. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 15-15. Overall, 64.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Cleveland is sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he is coming off a strong outing. In that last start vs. the Padres, Bibee went 5 2/3 innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. This season, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.58 ERA. Opponents are batting .220 off the right-hander this season. Bibee has a total of seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.25 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back, he has allowed at least two homers in three of his last five starts.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late for the Guardians, going 7/21 in his last five games with a home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .274 with 24 homers and 82 RBIs, which is good for 2nd in the league. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 71 is 5th best in the MLB right now.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the league’s 12th best team batting average.
We see the Guardians taking this one at home with a final score of 5-4. Given that they are at -150 on the money line, this is the best way to go. In terms of the starters, we have Tanner Bibee finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among starters.
Looking at Jack Flaherty, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 14th among starters. If you’re looking for a prediction on how many runs the Guardians will finish with, we have them at five, and the Tigers at four.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Tigers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Out | Elbow |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize | Out | Hamstring |
| Parker Meadows | Out | Hamstring |
| Kerry Carpenter | Out | Back |
| Reese Olson | Out | Shoulder |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
