Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Betting Tips 7/24/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Preview

Wednesday’s Reds vs. Braves matchup has a first pitch of 12:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. Cincinnati is 48-53 and 4th in the NL Central, while the Braves are 54-45 and have lost three straight. They are 2nd in the NL East.

BSOH is carrying Wednesday’s TV coverage for this one, and the Braves are the slight money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -137. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Frankie Montas is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against Allan Winans.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• The Reds are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Braves have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Braves have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Reds’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 6-4 straight-up and 8-2 vs. the runline.

Cincinnati picked up a 4-1 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Reds offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 3rd. As for the Braves, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +122 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Hunter Greene for the Reds and Reynaldo Lopez for the Braves. Greene went seven innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up a win in the game. On the other side, Lopez gave up four runs in six innings of work.

Cincinnati’s two-through-four hitters, Will Benson, Jeimer Candelario, and Elly De La Cruz, each had two hits and two RBIs. Benson also homered in the game. As for the Braves, Marcell Ozuna went 2/3 with an RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Cincinnati is on the road today, facing the Braves with an overall record of 48-53. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, and they trail the Brewers by 10 games for the division lead. So far, they are 12-14 in divisional matchups.

The Reds have an even 25-28 record at home this year, and they have gone 23-25 on the road. So far, they have been slightly better as the favorite, putting up a mark of 25-22. As for their record as the underdog, they are 23-31 this year. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 11-18-3, and they are currently leading the Braves 1-0 in the series.

When betting the run line on the Reds, it’s best to do so when they are on the road. Cincinnati’s run line record is 54-47 overall, but they are 31-17 on the road. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but it’s better on the road at 0.6 runs per game compared to 0.1 at home.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves, with the Over/Under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is also 8.5 runs per game. Cincinnati has an Over/Under record of 45-52 on the season, and when the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-8. Overall, 51.5% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8.5 runs, and their current Under streak is at 2 games.

Cincinnati is sending Frankie Montas to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 4-8 and an ERA of 4.85. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .233 off the right-hander. Montas has made six quality starts this year, and his ERA on the road is 6.8 compared to 5.98 at home. In his last outing, Montas gave up seven earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He has lost each of his last three starts.

Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear of late for the Reds, going 10/28 in his last seven games with two homers and five runs scored. For the season, he is batting .258 with a team-high 17 homers and 44 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the league in home runs, with 15 and 16, respectively.

Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a very consistent offense this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 22nd in the league, and are also near the top of the league in strikeouts.

With an overall record of 54-45, the Braves are nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have dropped three straight games, and this comes with them losing the series opener vs. the Reds. So far, they are 14-12 in the division and have an overall series record of 18-12-3.

At home, the Braves are 30-20 this season compared to 24-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 50-36 this year and 4-9 as the underdog. Atlanta has dropped three straight games as the home favorite.

When betting the run line, the Braves have been a losing proposition overall this season, going 45-54. That includes a 21-29 mark at home. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 24-25 on the road. They have covered the run line in just 6 of 13 games as an underdog.

When the Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season. Overall, the Braves have an over/under record of 34-60, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 9-18. So far this season, 36 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 36.4% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Allan Winans and the Braves are at home today, taking on the Reds. Winans is coming off a loss in his first start of the season, where he went 5 innings and gave up 6 earned runs on 8 hits. He did strike out 7 batters in that outing.

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 8/18 in his last five games with two homers. This has helped him move into the team lead in batting average (.311) and RBIs (79). Ozuna also comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak. Over his last five games, Travis d’Arnaud is 6/10 with two homers and four RBIs.

For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the MLB. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd ranked offense in terms of RBIs. Atlanta’s offense has been pretty consistent, as they are averaging 4.2 runs per game both at home and on the road.

We see the Reds coming away with a road win today against the Braves, and with the Reds’ money line sitting at +115, that is the route we recommend going. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Reds.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Allan Winans finishing with six strikeouts compared to Frankie Montas with six as well. However, we have Montas finishing with a better ERA and picking up the win, which is why we would go with the Reds’ starter over Winans.

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips

• We like the Reds on the moneyline (+115)
• The Reds are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report