Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction & Betting Tips 7/22/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Preview

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an AL West matchup between the Angels and Mariners. First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET, and BSW will be televising it.

The Mariners are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -165 compared to the Angels at +140. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and Tyler Anderson will start for the Angels, while the Mariners are sending Bryce Miller to the mound.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Trends and Key Stats

• The Angels are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• As the favorite, the Mariners are 4-6 over their last ten games, including going 2-8 vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Angels’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

The Angels’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with an 8-5 win. After allowing two runs to the Athletics in the bottom of the first, the Angels responded with a run of their own. Los Angeles went on to score another run in the 4th inning and added five more in the 8th.

Luis Garcia picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Angels, and Carlos Estévez got the save. The Angels also got a big performance from Mickey Moniak, going 1/3 with a homer and scoring three runs.

With a record of 42-57, the Angels are 4th in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 10 games. So far, they have gone 13-15 in divisional matchups. The Angels will be on the road today, taking on the Mariners, and they are 20-28 on the road this year.

Los Angeles has struggled as the favorite this year, going just 4-7, but they are 38-50 as the underdog. The Angels’ overall series record is 9-20-2, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Athletics. Heading into today’s game, the Angels are 5-5 over their last 10.

When the Angels win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +3.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -4.1 runs. Their run line record is 55-44, and they are 26-22 against the run line on the road. They are 3-8 against the run line as the favorite, but 52-36 as the underdog.

Los Angeles Angels games have gone over the total in three straight contests and have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 51-45, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 3-4. Overall, 88.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and 4.0% have had lower lines.

Left-hander Tyler Anderson gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 8-8 with a 2.98 ERA. Anderson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17, and opponents are batting .208 off him this year. In his last outing, Anderson finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One issue for Anderson has been the long ball, as he has allowed 14 homers this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.58 walks compared to 6.18 strikeouts.

Over his last nine games, Zach Neto has been on fire for the Angels, going 14/31 with two homers and five RBIs. Jo Adell comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak and is the team’s leader in home runs this season, but he is batting just .198. Adell’s 45 RBIs are the best mark on the team.

Los Angeles’ offense is averaging just 4 runs per game this season, which is the worst mark in the league. As a team, they are batting just .236, and their on-base percentage of .304 is also below the league average. The Angels do have three players with at least 13 homers, with Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, and Taylor Ward all having gone deep 13 times this season.

The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Astros, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing one run to the Astros in the top of the first, the Mariners responded with two runs of their own. Seattle went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.

Seattle started Bryan Woo, and he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Seattle is hosting the Angels today with an overall record of 53-48, which has them tied with the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners and Astros are both five games ahead of the Rangers for the division lead. Seattle went 19-10 in AL West games and lost their series vs. the Astros heading into today’s game.

At home, the Mariners are 31-20 this season, and they have gone 22-28 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 34-29 and 19-19 as the underdog. The Mariners’ overall series record is 13-16-2, and they have dropped two straight series.

Seattle has a run line record of 45-56 this season, with an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game. The Mariners have been a better bet at home, going 23-28 on the run line compared to 22-28 on the road. Seattle has been the favorite in 63 games and the underdog in 38 games. The Mariners’ average run margin in winning games is 3.2 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1 runs per game.

The Seattle Mariners are playing at home against the Los Angeles Angels today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Mariners’ games have averaged 7.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 42-54. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 12-18. Overall, 38.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Angels. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 3.63 ERA. In his 19 appearances, Miller has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.09 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his most recent outing, Miller didn’t allow a run vs. the Padres, going six innings and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Miller has a much better ERA at home (2.28) compared to on the road (6.0).

Julio Rodriguez has been swinging a hot bat for the Mariners of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .263 and is 3rd on the team with 11 homers. Cal Raleigh has also been good in his last eight games, hitting three homers, but he is batting just .209 for the season and has gone 6/30 in his last eight games.

Overall, the Mariners have the worst batting average in the league at just .218, and they are also last in the league in strikeouts. As a team, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game and have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per contest.

Our predicted final score for this Mariners vs. Angels matchup is 7-6 in favor of the Mariners. However, with the Mariners at -165 on the money line, we actually like the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs.

Offensively, our projections have the Mariners finishing with 11 hits and the Angels with 11. Looking at home runs, the Angels are actually projected to hit more than the Mariners, but the Mariners have a higher projected team strikeout total.

For the starting pitchers, Tyler Anderson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, compared to Bryce Miller with seven.

Our recommended pick is to take the over, and we like the payout at -103.

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips

• Take the Mariners on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Angels (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 13 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels Injury Report