New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Betting Tips 7/19/2024

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview

At 7:05 PM ET, the Rays and Yankees face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line at -174. The Rays have a record of 48-48, while the Yankees are 58-40 overall.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSSUN will be televising this one. Zach Eflin is starting for the Rays, while the Yankees are going with Gerrit Cole. In the AL East standings, the Rays are 4th, while the Yankees are in 2nd.

Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Tampa Bay Rays odds

New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Rays in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Yankees have gone 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 2-8 against the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Rays’s offense was carried by Jose Siri in their most recent game vs. the Guardians. Siri went only 1/3, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in both of Tampa Bay’s runs. The Rays also got a good start from Ryan Pepiot, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Tampa Bay’s bullpen was also solid, as Pete Fairbanks closed things out in the 9th, and the Rays picked up the 2-0 win. Fairbanks only needed seven pitches to get through the 9th inning, and he picked up the save.

Tampa Bay is at .500 with a record of 48-48 as they take on the Yankees today. The Rays are 4.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead and are in 4th place in the division. Tampa Bay is 12-18 in AL East matchups this season.

At home, the Rays are 27-27 this year, and they are also at .500 on the road, coming in with a record of 21-21. So far, they have gone 28-25 as the favorite and 20-23 as the underdog. As the road underdog, the Rays have gone 12-13 this year.

The Rays have been a profitable run line team on the road this season, going 25-17, but they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 20-34. Overall, they are 45-51 vs. the run line this season, with an average run margin of -0.7 runs per game. They have been a better bet as an underdog vs. a favorite, going 25-18 as the underdog and 20-33 as the favorite.

When the Tampa Bay Rays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 45-46. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-13-1. Overall, 37 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, which accounts for 38.5% of their games. Their games have gone under the total in each of their last three contests.

Zach Eflin will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees today. In that July 10th start, he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Eflin has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 5-6, and his ERA is 3.99. Eflin has made 17 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.12. Opponents are batting .255 vs. Eflin this season. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 7.07 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .236 and have the 23rd ranked slugging percentage in the league. Tampa Bay is also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs.

Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, as his 15 homers are the most on the team and 14th in the league. However, he is hitting just .261. Yandy Diaz and Jose Siri are also near the top of the team’s home run list, with eight and 12 homers, respectively. Diaz comes into the game with a batting average of .273. Over his last 10 games, Brandon Lowe is hitting .371 with two homers.

The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-5 loss. New York was the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Orioles scored two runs in the 3rd.

Carlos Rodon took the loss for the Yankees, going only four innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits. Trent Grisham was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Yankees scored three runs in the 9th to tie things up but couldn Orioles scored an additional three runs in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win.

The Yankees are 58-40 overall this season, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is 16-19 in divisional matchups and closed out their series vs. the Orioles with two straight wins. So far, they are 44-34 as the favorite and 24-17 when favored at home.

At home, the Yankees are 25-19 this season and have been really good on the road at 33-21. New York’s series record is 17-10-3 this year, and they are on a five-series losing streak at home. Heading into today’s game, the Yankees have gone 4-6 over their last 10.

When betting the run line in New York Yankees games, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road than at home. The Yankees have gone 31-23 against the run line on the road, compared to just 21-23 at home. They’ve also been a better bet when they’re the underdog, going 16-4 against the run line in those games. Overall, the Yankees have an average run margin of 1.1 runs per game this season.

When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.9 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Yankees is 50-44, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-9-2. The majority of their games have had higher over/under lines, with 63 of their games having lines set over 8 runs, which is 64.3% of their games.

Gerrit Cole is getting the start for the Yankees at home against the Rays. Cole has started 3 games so far this season and has a 2-1 record. He is coming off a win against the Orioles, where he went 6 innings and struck out 7.

So far this season, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York is also one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 2nd in home runs and have a collective isolated power figure of .179, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 8th in the league.

Right now, Aaron Judge is leading the Yankees in batting average (.306) and OBP. He also has 34 homers and 85 RBIs, which are both the best marks in the league. Juan Soto is also having a strong season, batting .295 with 23 homers. However, Soto has gone deep just three times in his last 10 games, while Judge has six homers in that stretch. Ben Rice has also homered six times in his last 10 games, but he is batting just .190 in that stretch.

There are a few ways to play this game, but our top recommendation is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. We actually have the Yankees winning this one 5-4, but with the payout for a Yankees win sitting at -174, we would rather take the over.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher props, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for eighth among starters. As for Zach Eflin, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is good for 15th.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report