Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Betting Tips 7/12/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Preview

Friday’s matchup between the Nationals and Brewers is set for 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Nationals are currently on a five-game losing streak and are 42-52 overall, while the Brewers are 54-40 and are 1st in the NL Central.

Milwaukee is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -223, while the Nationals are at +187. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSWI will be televising this one.

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Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Nationals are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Brewers have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• The Brewers have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Nationals have a straight-up record of 2-8 and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Led by a big game by Lane Thomas at the plate, the Nationals are coming off a 7-0 win over the Mets to close out their series. Thomas went 2/2 with two RBIs and a run scored. The Nationals really broke things open with a five-run 5th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Nationals were the slight underdog at +125.

MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs. Washington’s bullpen was able to close things out, and the Nationals scored an json run in the 8th to pick up the 7-0 win.

Washington is 42-52 overall and trail the Phillies by 19.5 games in the NL East. The Nationals have dropped five straight games, and they are coming off being swept by the Mets in a three-game series. So far, they are 16-15 in the division.

At home, the Nationals are 20-24 this year and 22-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 33-44 this year, and they are 18-25 as the road underdog. Washington’s series record is 11-17-2, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Nationals are 52-42 against the run line this season, but they have failed to cover in their last four road games. They are 28-22 against the run line on the road this season and have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game away from home.

The Washington Nationals are on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Nationals have played 90 games this season, and the average combined run total in their games has been 8.6. Their over/under record for the season is 44-46. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, their record is 5-6-1. This season, 63.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Getting the start on the mound for the Nationals is Jackson Rutledge. He is making his first start of the season after coming out of the bullpen in his first appearance. In that outing, he went one inning and gave up one run, which was on a solo home run. Rutledge finished with two strikeouts and did not factor into the decision.

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 20th in runs per game at 4.1. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. The Nationals have the 13th best batting average in the league but are just 19th in home runs and have the 23rd slugging percentage in the league.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers is the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. He is also 4th in the league with 46 RBIs. Luis Garcia Jr. has been on fire of late, going 14/31 in his last eight games with three homers and eight RBIs. He also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. Milwaukee’s offense wasted a good start from Aaron Civale, who took the loss, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run on six hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the loss.

Milwaukee’s offense had only two fewer hits than the Pirates but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles, and the Brewers didn’t have a runner reach third base until the 7th inning. Aaron Civale was the only Brewers hitter to have more than one hit, going 2 for 3.

Milwaukee is hosting the Nationals today with a record of 54-40, which has them leading the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 21-12 in divisional games, and they will play the Nationals with an overall record of 28-15 at home. On the road, the Brewers are 26-25 this year.

As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 32-19 this year and 22-9 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 17-10-3, but they lost their most recent series vs. the Pirates. Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Milwaukee Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.5 runs per game. They are 49-45 against the run line this season, including 22-21 at home. They are 28-15 against the run line as an underdog, but just 21-30 as a favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the Washington Nationals today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the team’s season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Brewers’ O/U record for the season is 50-40, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-6-1. So far this season, 60.6% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.

Freddy Peralta is starting for the Brewers today and comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.95. So far this season, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .204 off the right-hander. Peralta has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 11.39 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Peralta finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been solid at home, coming in with a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 4.33.

Christian Yelich has been red hot for the Brewers, batting .333 over his last eight games, with three homers and seven runs scored. For the season, Yelich is batting .329, which is 2nd on the team, and his 11 homers is the 2nd best mark on the team. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead in homers, but Adames has had the better season at the plate, with a batting average of .237 compared to Hoskins’ mark of .218.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB right now. Milwaukee is also one of the best teams in terms of getting on base, with an OBP of .332.

Our prediction for this Nationals vs. Brewers game is to take the Nationals on the money line at +187. We have the Nationals winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a pick against the spread, we would still recommend taking the Nationals on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, which ranks 11th among starters today. However, his chances of picking up a win are fourth best. As for the Nationals, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which ranks 20th.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips

• We like the Nationals on the moneyline (+187)
• The Nationals are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Washington Nationals Injury Report