New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Betting Tips 7/12/2024

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Preview

First pitch for Friday night’s matchup between the Rockies and Mets is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The Rockies are +198 on the money line compared to the Mets at -238. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Sean Manaea will be starting for the Mets, while the Rockies are going with Tanner Gordon. Colorado is 33-61 this season, while the Mets are 47-45. New York is currently on a three-game winning streak and is 3rd in the NL East, while the Rockies are 5th in the NL West.

Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Colorado Rockies odds

New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rockies have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Mets have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 6-4 against the runline.
• The Rockies have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with an 8-1 loss. Colorado was the +171 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rockies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Reds scored three times in the bottom of the first.

Austin Gomber had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. The Rockies also wasted a big game from Michael Toglia, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/2.

Colorado is 33-61 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, 22 games behind the Dodgers. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional matchups. The Rockies are just 13-34 on the road this season.

As the road team today, the Rockies will be looking to pick up a win as the underdog. They have yet to win a series this season as the favorite, coming in with an overall series record of 5-22-3. Colorado lost three of four in their series vs. the Reds.

When it comes to the run line, the Rockies have been a tough team to predict this season. They have a run line record of 45-49, with a negative run differential of -1.8 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 45-49, and on the road, they are 21-26.

The Rockies have played to the over in 48 of their 92 games this season, including three straight overs. Their games have averaged 10 runs per game, and the average line for their games has been 10 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over in three of seven games. Overall, 51.1% of their games have had higher lines than 9 runs.

Getting the start for the Rockies today is Tanner Gordon, who will be making his second start of the season. In his first outing, Gordon took the loss against the Royals, going 6 1/3 innings and allowing 5 runs on 8 strikeouts. He did give up a pair of homers in that outing.

So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league and have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been good at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the 4th best BABIP in the league.

Over his last five games, Brenton Doyle has gone 5/16 with two homers and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .277 with 13 homers. Ryan McMahon has a team-high 14 homers and is batting .272. He also leads the team with 45 RBIs. Ezequiel Tovar is batting .265 and has gone deep 12 times this season.

The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 7-0 win. After scoring five runs in the 2nd inning, the Mets really didn’t need to do much more, but they added another two runs in the 4th just to put things out of reach. New York was the -147 favorite at home going into the game.

David Peterson put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out five. J.D. Martinez was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Mets also had a big 5th inning, with Brandon Nimmo going 1/4 with a run scored.

The Mets come into today’s game vs. the Rockies with an overall record of 47-45, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 13.5 games for the division lead. New York has won three straight games and closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a three-game winning streak.

At home, the Mets are 24-25 this season and have gone 23-20 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 28-23 this season and 19-22 as the underdog. New York has won five straight games as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 14-13-5.

When the Mets are favored, they are 20-31 against the run line, but as underdogs, they are 24-17. Their overall run line record is 44-48, but they are 20-29 at home. Their average run margin is just 0.1 per game, and they have a scoring margin of 0.3 on the road and 0.0 at home. In their wins, they are outscoring opponents by an average of 3.5 runs per game, but in losses, they are getting outscored by 3.4 runs per game.

The Mets have a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-41. They have played 11 games with an over/under line of 9 runs, going 4-4-3 in those games. Overall, 76.1% of their games have had lower lines than 9 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Pirates on July 7th, he went six innings, giving up just two hits and three walks. Manaea finished with six strikeouts in that outing. For the season, he has made 17 starts, and his ERA is 3.42 with a record of 5-3. Opponents are batting .214 off the left-hander this year. Manaea has made five quality starts and is averaging 8.76 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Mets are 8th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are 4th in the league in home runs and have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure.

Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, hitting three home runs in his last five games while going 6/21. He also has 10 RBIs in that stretch. For the season, Nimmo is batting .252 with 16 homers and 62 RBIs, which is 7th best in the league. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have also been solid power threats for the Mets, with 18 and 16 homers, respectively.

We do see the Mets coming away with a 6-4 win in this one, and with the money line payout being -238, we would look to the over/under market for a better payout. The line is currently sitting at nine runs, and we have this one going over. Our Mets vs. Rockies prediction is to take the over at -101.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sean Manaea finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tanner Gordon with five. Manaea is projected to finish with a line of 12th among starters in terms of earned runs, while Gordon is third worst.

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• The Mets should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

Colorado Rockies Injury Report