Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Preview
The money line odds for Wednesday’s Yankees vs. Rays matchup have the Yankees favored, as their odds are sitting at -108 compared to the Rays at -110. This one is being played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
First pitch for this AL East matchup is set for 6:50 PM ET. BSSUN is carrying the Rays vs. the Yankees, who are 55-38 overall. New York has lost two straight, and they are currently second in the AL East, while the Rays are 4th.
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Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Yankees are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Rays’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over the last ten games, Yankees has a record of 3-7 when playing as favorites and 5-5 when playing as underdogs.
- The Rays hold a 5-5 record as the favorite and a 7-3 record as the underdog.
Tampa Bay picked up a 5-3 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a four-run 1st inning and cruised to the finish line from there. Heading into the game, they were at +100 on the money line.
Ryan Pepiot only went 5 2/3 innings for the Rays but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Pete Fairbanks closed things out. Carlos Rodon had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.
Ben Rice hit the game’s only home run while going 1/5 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Isaac Paredes had a three RBI game at the plate for the Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are three games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead as they are 55-38 overall. New York has dropped two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10. So far, they have gone just 13-17 in divisional games. The Yankees have an overall series record of 16-9-3 this year, but they have dropped two straight series.
As the road team, the Yankees are 30-19 this year compared to 25-19 at home. New York has been the favorite in most of their games, and they are 43-32 in those matchups. As for being the favorite on the road, they have gone 19-15 this year. So far, they have been good as the underdog, going 12-6.
When the Yankees are favored, they are just 35-40 on the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 14-4. Their average run differential in winning games is 4.1, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.3. They have covered the run line in 28 of 49 road games this season.
The Yankees are on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average in Yankees games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 48-41. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-8-2. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 60 of their games this season, which accounts for 64.5% of their games.
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.58. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. Out of his 18 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 6.79 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Stroman took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 3.0 compared to 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA at home.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top two home run hitters in the league right now in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge has gone deep 32 times this season, while Soto has 21 homers. Judge also leads the league in RBIs, with 83, and Soto is 6th in the league in RBIs, with 63. Both players are also hitting the ball well, with Judge batting .308 and Soto at .291.
Ben Rice has been swinging a hot bat for the Yankees of late, going 6/23 with five homers in his last six games. He also has 10 RBIs during this stretch. Alex Verdugo has also been hitting well, going 7/24 in his last six games. Giancarlo Stanton is on a 10-game hitting streak for the Yankees.
Tampa Bay is 45-46 overall and 12 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 11-17 in AL East matchups. The Rays are on a two-game winning streak at home, and they are 24-25 at home this season.
As the favorite, the Rays have gone 26-24 this year and 19-22 when they are the underdog. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 15-11-2 this year, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games overall.
The Rays are 42-49 against the run line this season, including a 17-32 mark at home. They are 25-17 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 24-17 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Today’s over/under line for the Tampa Bay Rays’ game against the New York Yankees is set at 8 runs. The Rays have played to an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-42. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-12-1. This season, 40.7% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 34.1% have had lines set below 8 runs.
Zach Eflin will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Royals. In that July 4th outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 5 earned runs, and 1 homer. Looking back further, Eflin has been a bit up and down. Before the win vs. the Royals, he had given up at least 3 earned runs in three straight starts. Eflin’s ERA for the season is 4.19, along with a record of 5-5. Opponents are batting .260 this season vs. Eflin. Out of his 16 starts, he has five quality starts and is averaging 7.02 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which has them ranked 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 13th in the league. In terms of home runs, they are 18th in the league and have a team isolated power (ISO) of just .134.
Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, as he is 12th in the league with 15 homers. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/25 in his last seven games. Yandy Diaz is currently on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .270 for the season. He has gone deep eight times this year.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout being -110. We have the Rays winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zach Eflin has a much better chance of picking up a win than Marcus Stroman. Eflin is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Stroman is projected to finish with just four.
Offensively, the Yankees are projected to finish with eight hits, while the Rays are projected to finish with eight. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with more home runs, if you’re looking to place a player prop bet.
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Rays on the moneyline
- The Rays should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Richard Lovelady | Out | Forearm |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
