San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 7/10/2024

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Preview

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Mariners and Padres has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego. The Padres are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -139 compared to the Mariners at +119. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Seattle will be starting Bryce Miller, while the Padres are sending Michael King to the mound. The Mariners are 50-43 this season, and they are 1st in the AL West. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West, but they are currently on a three-game losing streak.

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San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• The Mariners are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Padres have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Padres have a straight-up record of 4-6, while going 3-7 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Mariners have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Seattle cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -140.

Logan Gilbert started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just three runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and allowed just one hit. On the other side, Adam Mazur got the start for the Padres and took the loss, going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up five runs.

At the plate, the Mariners were led by Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez. Raleigh went 3/5 with two homers, while Rodriguez also had a two-homer game and went 4/4. Rodriguez scored three times and drove in two runs.

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Seattle leads the AL West by two games over the Astros, and they have gone 17-5 against other teams in the division. The Mariners are 50-43 overall, and they have won two straight games. Their most recent win came in the first game of this series vs. the Padres.

At home, the Mariners are 30-18 this year, and they are just below .500 on the road at 20-25. As the underdog, Seattle is 18-19 this year and 32-24 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 13-14-2 and have lost six straight series.

Seattle is 20-25 against the run line on the road this season, but they have covered in two straight games. The Mariners have an even run differential on the road this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while allowing 4.5. They have been a better bet at home, going 22-26 against the run line, with a run differential of +0.6 runs per game.

The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined average of 7.6 runs per game. The Mariners have played to the over in 39 of their 88 games this season, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over in 11 of 26 games. The over has hit in each of their last three games.

Right-hander Bryce Miller is getting the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.85. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and opponents are batting .211 off him this year. In his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Miller has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 17 home runs are 1st on the team and 10th in the MLB. However, his batting average is just .210, and he is 9th in the league in strikeouts. Mitch Garver is 2nd on the team with 12 homers but is batting just .176. Garver also has the 2nd most strikeouts on the team. Garver is just 3/33 in his last eight games, but all three of those hits have been home runs.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .218, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game and on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. The Mariners are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out.

San Diego will be hosting the Mariners for game two of their series with a record of 49-46, which has them 2nd in the NL West, seven and a half games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have lost three straight games, and they are 15-17 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Padres are 25-25 this year and 24-21 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres have gone 28-27 and 21-19 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 17-11-3, and they have won two straight series on the road.

Despite a run line record of 18-32 at home, the Padres have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 49-46. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 31-14. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 28-12, compared to 21-34 as the favorite. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.7, while their average run differential in losses is -3.5.

The San Diego Padres are at home today against the Seattle Mariners. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Padres have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season. Their O/U record for the season is 52-42, and their average O/U line is set at 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-15. Overall, 60.0% of their games this season have had O/U lines set higher than 7.5 runs. The Padres are currently on a streak of four consecutive games going over the O/U line.

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 3.51. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander. King has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.29 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. King’s ERA at home is 4.71 compared to 3.34 on the road.

San Diego has been one of the league’s best offensive teams this season, as they come into the game with the MLB’s 2nd best batting average at .262. They are also 7th in home runs and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. have been the team’s top power threats this season, as they both have 14 homers. Profar’s 59 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Profar is also 2nd on the team in batting average at .312. Over his last 10 games, Luis Arraez has gone 13/43 and is batting .309 for the season.

Our pick for today’s Mariners vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -139. We actually have the Mariners finishing with more runs than the Padres, but with the payout for the Padres to win straight up, we prefer to go that route.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Michael King is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among starters. As for Bryce Miller, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is tied for the third fewest among starters.

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• Take the Padres on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report