Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Preview
Chris Sale and the Braves are on a two-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the NL East with an overall record of 49-39. The Diamondbacks are 45-45 overall and they are 3rd in the NL West. Arizona will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak, but they are the slight underdog on the money line (+161).
The over/under line for Monday’s matchup is currently at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on MLBN. First pitch from Chase Field is set for 9:40 PM ET.
Check out BetCoco for Arizona Diamondbacks – Atlanta Braves odds
Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Braves have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- In the Diamondbacks’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- The Braves have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 3-7.
- The Diamondbacks have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 6-0 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the top of the first, the Braves responded with five runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another run in the 2nd inning.
Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out six Phillies batters. Adam Duvall was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Braves also had three other players with two hits.
Atlanta is on the road today, taking on the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 49-39. They are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East but picked up two games on them in their most recent series, which they won 2-1. So far, they are 14-12 in divisional games.
As the favorite, the Braves have gone 46-33 this year and 3-6 as the underdog. Atlanta has been good at home this year, going 29-17 compared to 20-22 on the road. The Braves’ overall series record is 17-11-2, and they have won two straight as the favorite.
When the Braves are on the road, they have a run line record of 21-21. They have a run line record of 42-46 overall, and their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 5-4 as an underdog and 37-42 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2 runs per game. They have a run line losing streak of 2 games on the road and a run line win streak of 2 games overall.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is below their combined run average of 7.9. The Braves have an O/U record of 30-54 on the season, and their games have averaged an O/U line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 4-6-1. Overall, 65.9% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs, and their games have gone under the total in their last two contests.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 11-3 to go along with an ERA of 2.71. Sale’s WHIP for the season is .91, and opponents are batting .193 off the left-hander this year. In his last outing, Sale went six innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Sale has been much better at home this year, coming in with an ERA of 3.40 compared to 2.65 on the road.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the Braves’ top hitters this season, batting .295 with a team-high 23 home runs and 72 RBIs, which is 3rd in the MLB. Over his last five games, he has gone 5/18 with two homers. Ozzie Albies has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/19 in his last five games with two homers of his own.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. This season, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the MLB. Overall, they are 11th in home runs and have the 10th best slugging percentage in the league.
Eugenio Suarez was hot at the plate in the Diamondbacks’s most recent game vs. the Padres, going 3/4 with a homer and five RBIs. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a five-run 9th inning. Arizona was the +147 underdog going into San Diego.
Ryne Nelson started for the Diamondbacks, going 6 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on three hits and issued just one walk. Nelson also struck out five Padres batters. Arizona’s bullpen closed things out with 5th scoreless innings.
Arizona is at an even .500 on the year at 45-45, and they are 9.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks trail the Padres by two games for the second spot in the NL West. Arizona heads into today’s game having won two straight games, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Padres.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 22-21 this year and 23-24 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona has gone 23-27 this year, and they are 22-18 when favored. Arizona has an overall series record of 13-13-3 this year and have won three straight series.
Arizona is 45-45 against the run line this season, including a 19-24 mark at home. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 29-21, compared to 16-24 as the favorite. Arizona’s average run margin in winning games is +4.4, while it’s -4.2 in losing games.
The Diamondbacks have been a strong over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 47-41, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over in 7 of 10 games. Overall, 73.3% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 6 games.
The Diamondbacks will be sending Yilber Diaz to the mound today against the Braves. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up an average of 5 runs per contest. So far, they are 5th in the league in team batting average and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league. Arizona also has the 7th best OPS in the league.
Christian Walker has been on fire for the Diamondbacks, going 16/34 in his last eight games with five home runs and 13 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .268 with a team-high 22 homers and 64 RBIs. Ketel Marte is also having a solid season, batting .284 with 17 homers and 51 RBIs.
With the Diamondbacks at +161 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the payout. They are at home, and our predicted score is 6-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale does have the highest strikeout projection among starters, but we still have him finishing with fewer than our other starters. Sale is projected to finish with seven K’s.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+161)
- On the run line we like Diamondbacks (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
Ketel Marte | Questionable | Back |
Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
Jordan Montgomery | Out | Knee |
Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
Brandon Pfaadt | Questionable | Ankle |
Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
Brian Anderson | Out | Illness |
Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
Ramón Laureano | Questionable | Back |
Jimmy Herget | Out | Shoulder |
Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
Michael Harris II | Out | Hamstring |
Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
AJ Smith-Shawver | Out | Oblique |
Hurston Waldrep | Out | Elbow |