Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Preview
Cincinnati comes into Monday’s matchup vs. the Rockies looking to end a three-game losing streak, as they are the heavy money line favorite at -185. Colorado, on the other hand, is +156 on the money line, and they are 5th in the NL West with a record of 32-58.
The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the forecast for Monday’s game in Cincinnati calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 90s. BSOH is carrying this one on TV. First pitch from Great American Park is set for 7:10 PM ET. Ryan Feltner is starting for the Rockies, and he is facing off against Andrew Abbott for the Reds.
Check out BetCoco for Cincinnati Reds – Colorado Rockies odds
Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rockies have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- The Reds, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Reds have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rockies have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 10-1 loss. Colorado was the +146 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Rockies in the 2nd inning, as the Royals scored four runs in the inning. Colorado’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.
Tanner Gordon got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted 6 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on eight hits. Jake Cave was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored. The Rockies also had three other players with a hit.
With a record of 32-58, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 22.5 games. So far, they have gone 10-17 in divisional matchups. The Rockies are on the road today, and they are just 12-31 as the road team this year.
Colorado has been playing a bit better of late, as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Rockies closed out their series vs. the Royals with two straight wins to take the series 2-1. As the underdog this year, the Rockies are 32-58, and they have yet to be the favorite in a game.
Colorado has been a poor run line bet overall this season, going just 44-46, but they have been slightly better on the road at 20-23. Their average run differential is -1.7 runs per game, and they have been a run line underdog in every game this season. Their average run differential in losses is -4.1 runs per game, while in wins it is +2.8 runs per game. Their run line record at home is 24-23, while their run line record on the road is 20-23.
The Colorado Rockies are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today, with the Over/Under line set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average in Rockies games this season is 9.9 runs per game, and their Over/Under record is 45-43. The average Over/Under line for Rockies games this season is 10 runs, and their Over/Under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 3-3. So far this season, 45.6% of Rockies games have had Over/Under lines set higher than 9.5 runs.
Right-hander Ryan Feltner is getting the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 1-7 with an ERA of 5.60. Feltner’s WHIP for the season is 1.46, and opponents are batting .281 off him this year. Feltner’s last outing came on July 2nd, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in five innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Colorado’s offense has been a little better at home this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.1 runs per contest. The Rockies have been one of the league’s best hitting teams so far, as they have the 10th best batting average and have the 3rd best BABIP in the league.
Ezequiel Tovar and Ryan McMahon have been the Rockies’ top power threats this season, as Tovar has 12 homers and McMahon has gone deep 14 times. McMahon also leads the team with 45 RBIs, and Tovar is 2nd with 37. Brenton Doyle has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/30 over his last eight games with four homers.
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Tigers scored three runs in the top of the 8th. Cincinnati was the +120 underdog at home going into the game.
Graham Ashcraft got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run, but Cincinnati’s bullpen couldn’t close things out, and the Reds took the loss. Offensively, the Reds only had four hits and scored their only run in the 2nd inning.
Cincinnati will be hosting the Rockies with an overall record of 42-48, which puts them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 10.5 games for the division lead. The Reds head into today’s game having lost three straight games, dropping their final three games of the series vs. the Tigers.
At home, the Reds are 20-26 this year compared to 22-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 20-18 this year and 22-30 as the underdog. One issue for the Reds at home has been closing out series, as their overall series record is 9-17-3 and they have dropped three straight series at home. So far, they have dropped five straight series at home.
When betting the run line with the Reds at home, you might want to think twice. They are 18-28 against the run line at home this season, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last five home games. However, they have been much better on the road, going 30-14 against the run line. They are also 32-20 against the run line as an underdog this season.
When the Cincinnati Reds are at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds have played to an average combined run total of 8.3 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Cincinnati is 38-48, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 14 of 22 games. Only 5.6% of their games have had higher lines than 9.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Rockies. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 8-6. Abbott’s ERA for the season is 3.28, along with a WHIP of 1.20. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Abbott picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The left-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a 5-3 record and 3.42 ERA compared to 3-3 with a 3.32 ERA at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is a team that has been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, the Reds are batting just .225, and their collective on-base percentage of .301 is also below average. Cincinnati’s offense has been near the middle of the pack in terms of home runs and isolated power.
Spencer Steer has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/19 in his last five games with three homers and six RBIs. Steer is 3rd on the team with 13 homers and is 13th in the league in RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .243. Elly De La Cruz is hitting .247 and leads the team with 15 homers.
Our predicted final score for this Rockies vs. Reds matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Reds. However, we are actually recommending that you take the under, as we see the best value coming with the line sitting at 9.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Andrew Abbott is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him as the sixth most among starters today. As for Ryan Feltner, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him as the fifth most.
Looking at some team stats, the Reds are projected to finish with nine hits, which would have them as the fourth best in the league today. As for the Rockies, they are projected to finish with eight hits, which would have them as the second worst.
Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Reds on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Maile | Out | Back |
| Emilio Pagán | Out | Lat |
| Jake Fraley | Out | Personal |
| Nick Lodolo | Out | Finger |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Hamstring |
| Nick Martini | Out | Thumb |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Ribs/Oblique |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Rogers | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Bird | Out | Groin |
| Jordan Beck | Out | Hand |
