Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 7/8/2024

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview

At 4:05 PM ET, the Cardinals and Nationals face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The forecast calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low 90s.

St. Louis is currently 47-42 and is 2nd in the NL Central, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East with an overall record of 42-48. Monday’s money line odds have the Cardinals at -106 compared to the Nationals at -112. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

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Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Cardinals in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the Nationals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
• In their previous ten games, Cardinals have won 6-4 as favorites and 6-4 as underdogs.
• In their last ten games, the Nationals have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.

St. Louis cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a huge 5th inning, scoring three runs in the 1st and adding five more in the 5th. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -111 on the money line.

Kyle Gibson got the win for the Cardinals, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, DJ Herz only went 4 1/3 innings for the Nationals, giving up four earned runs on five hits.

Willson Contreras and Nolan Gorman each homered for the Cardinals, while Nolan Arenado went 2/5 with two RBIs. Alec Burleson also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for St. Louis’ offense.

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

St. Louis is 47-42 overall and trails the Brewers by five games for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals are 13-12 against other teams in the division. The team is on a four-game winning streak as the favorite, and they are 25-19 overall as the favorite this year.

At home, the Cardinals are 24-18 this year, and they are just one game under .500 at 23-24 on the road. St. Louis’ overall series record is 15-11-2, and they are winning their current series vs. the Nationals. This year, the Cardinals are 9-6 as the favorite on the road.

When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better play as the underdog compared to the favorite. St. Louis is 28-17 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 17-27 as the favorite. The Cardinals have an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game this season.

The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-45. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Cardinals have a record of 7-5-1. Their games have been set with an average over/under line of 8 runs, and only 7.9% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher. Their over streak is at 3 games.

Right-hander Miles Mikolas is starting for the Cardinals today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 5.18. Looking at his overall numbers, Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.22 and has pitched better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.71. In comparison, his ERA at home is 7.1, and he has a record of 1-3. Mikolas’ last outing came on July 3rd, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

So far this season, the Cardinals offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also 21st in home runs and have a team batting average of just .243. However, they do have a few hitters that have been swinging the bat well of late. Masyn Winn has gone 10/27 in his last six games, and Willson Contreras has three homers in this stretch while also batting .320.

Nolan Gorman has struggled with a batting average of just .206, but he does lead the team with 17 homers and has driven in 45 runs, which is also the best mark on the team. Alec Burleson and Brendan Donovan are also near the top of the team in homers, with 13 and 8, respectively.

Washington is 42-48 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East, 16 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 16-12 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals have dropped two straight games and are just 4-6 across their last ten.

At home, the Nationals are 20-23 this year compared to 22-25 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, coming in with a mark of 33-41. As for their record in games where they are the favorite, Washington is 9-7. They are 11-15-2 in series this year.

Washington has a run line record of 52-38 on the season, including a 24-19 mark at home. The Nationals have an average run differential of -0.2 runs per game this season. They have a run line record of 28-19 on the road and are 8-8 against the run line as the favorite. Washington has an average run differential of -0.1 runs per game on the road and -0.3 runs per game at home. They are 44-30 against the run line as the underdog this season.

The Nationals have been playing in a lot of high-scoring games lately, with the over hitting in three straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cardinals is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.7 runs per game. Overall, the over has hit in 43 of their 86 games this season, and they have played in just 17.8% of their games with an over/under line of 9 runs or higher.

Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Cardinals at home. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 3.61. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.23 strikeouts per nine innings. Parker most recently faced the Mets, where he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

Washington has been a below-average offensive team this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 12th in the league, and are one of the league’s best teams at not striking out. However, they are just 25th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .371.

Over his last five games, Luis Garcia Jr. has been on fire, going 10/17 with three homers and eight RBIs. His three homers in that stretch have moved him into 2nd on the team’s home run leaderboard. CJ Abrams is also having a strong season, batting .282 with a team-high 46 RBIs and 14 homers.

With the Nationals at home, we see them coming away with a 6-4 win over the Cardinals. At -112, the Nationals’ money line is a good payout, and we would recommend locking that in.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the third-worst among starters. As for Miles Mikolas, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which puts him right in the middle of the pack.

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips

• Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
• The Nationals should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Washington Nationals Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report