Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Preview
Christian Scott will go for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Mitch Keller for the Pirates. The Mets are 44-44 this season, while the Pirates are 42-47. This game will get started at 12:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. There does appear to be a chance of rain in Pittsburgh on Monday.
New York is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 3rd in the NL East, while the Pirates have lost two straight and are 3rd in the NL Central. The money line odds have the Mets at -106 compared to the Pirates at -113. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Pittsburgh Pirates – New York Mets odds
Pittsburgh Pirates Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mets have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- In the Pirates’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Mets have a record of 5-5, while as the underdog, they have a record of 8-2.
- 6-4 is the record of the Pirates as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 4-6.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Pirates series. New York went into the matchup as -130 favorites and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out nine times.
Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Luis L. Ortiz, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in six innings of work for the Pirates. Aroldis Chapman took the loss.
Sean Manaea pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Edwin Díaz closed things out.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets are at an even 44-44 as they are on the road for today’s game vs. the Pirates. New York has won two straight games, and they are 13.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 13-12 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 21-25 this season, and they have gone 23-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 25-23 and 19-21 as the underdog. New York has won two straight road games, and their overall series record is 13-13-4 this year.
When the Mets win, they win by an average of 3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Their run line record is 41-47, and their run line record on the road is 24-18. They are 24-16 against the run line as an underdog.
The Mets are on the road in Pittsburgh today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. New York has played to an over/under record of 46-39 this season, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have gone 13-9 on the over this season. The over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for 23.9% of their games this year.
New York is sending right-hander Christian Scott to the mound today as he faces the Pirates on the road. Through six starts, Scott has a record of 0-2 and an ERA of 4.32. He has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Scott has not taken the loss in three straight outings, finishing with a no-decision in each of those starts. His last win came on May 6th. Opponents are batting .240 off Scott this year.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/24 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .250 with 15 homers and 45 RBIs. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 18 homers and is 2nd on the team with 48 RBIs, but he is hitting just .243 for the season. Brandon Nimmo has the most RBIs for the Mets at 53 and is also 3rd on the team with 13 homers.
Overall, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 8th best team batting average.
Pittsburgh is 42-47 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. The Pirates have lost two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Mets 1-2. So far, they have gone just 13-13 in divisional games.
At home, the Pirates are 21-24 this season and 21-23 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh is 25-28 this season, and they are 17-19 when favored. The Pirates have dropped two straight at home as the underdog and have an overall series record of 11-13-4 this year.
Despite being below .500 overall, the Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 48-41. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 26-18. They have been an underdog in 53 games and have covered the run line in 36 of those contests.
Today’s game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which matches the combined run average for Pirates games this season. The Pirates have played 58 games this season with over/under lines set at 8 runs or less, and 17 games with lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The under has hit in two straight games for the Pirates.
Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Pirates vs. the Mets today. In that July 2nd start, Keller took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Keller has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss in three of those outings. His ERA for the season is 3.48, along with a record of 9-5. So far, he has made nine quality starts and is averaging 8.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Keller’s WHIP for the season is 1.25.
Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 23rd in the league in scoring, averaging 4.1 runs per game. They haven’t been much better at home, where they are averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .230, which is 15th in the league, and have the 16th most home runs in the league. Pittsburgh’s team on-base percentage of .299 is 19th in the MLB.
Bryan Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 9/29 in his last seven games with three homers and eight RBIs. This has moved his season average up to .281, and his 16 homers is 11th best in the league. Oneil Cruz is also a power threat for the Pirates, as he has 13 homers this season.
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Pirates game is that the Mets will pick up a 5-4 road win. With the Mets being the underdog at -106, there is a good amount of value in picking them up straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Mitch Keller finishing with six strikeouts compared to Christian Scott with five. However, we have Keller’s chances of picking up a win as the fourth best among today’s starters.
Offensively, the Mets have a higher projected home run total than the Pirates, and the Pirates are actually predicted to finish with more strikeouts than the Mets.
If you’re looking for a final score prediction, we have the Mets winning 5-4.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- We like the Mets on the moneyline (-106)
- The Mets are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Marco Gonzales | Out | Forearm |
| Daulton Jefferies | Out | Elbow |
| Bailey Falter | Out | Arm |
| Ryan Borucki | Out | Triceps |
| David Bednar | Out | Oblique |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Quinn Priester | Out | Lat |
| Jared Jones | Out | Lat |
| Hunter Stratton | Out | Triceps |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
