Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have the Brewers and Dodgers facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 10:10 PM ET and is being televised on MLBN. The money line odds have the Dodgers at -200, while the Brewers are the slight underdog at +168. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Friday’s forecast in Los Angeles calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. Aaron Civale is starting for the Brewers, and they are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 52-36. The Dodgers will send Tyler Glasnow to the mound, and they are 1st in the NL West. Los Angeles has lost two straight.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Milwaukee Brewers odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Brewers in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Dodgers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Dodgers have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Rockies scored two runs in the 4th to take the lead. Milwaukee was the -136 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Tobias Myers had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing one walk. He also only had five strikeouts and took the loss. The Brewers’ offense scored their three runs on eight hits but didnjson’t have a home run.
Milwaukee heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Dodgers with a record of 52-36, which has them leading the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 20-10 against other teams in the NL Central. They split their recent series vs. the Rockies and are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
As the road, the Brewers are 15-13 when the underdog this season, and they are 21-18 overall as the underdog. Milwaukee has been good at home, going 27-13 compared to 25-23 on the road. Their overall series record is 17-8-3 this year.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 46-42 on the season, including a 20-20 record at home and a 26-22 record on the road.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the combined run average for Brewers games this season. Milwaukee’s over/under record for the season is 46-38, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-6-1. The Brewers have had 53 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 60.2% of their games. Their under streak is currently at 3 games.
Right-hander Aaron Civale is starting for the Brewers today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.07. So far, Civale has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Civale has allowed at least one homer in four of his last five outings.
Christian Yelich has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Brewers, going 9/20 in his last five games with two homers and five runs scored. For the season, Yelich is batting .278 with 11 homers and 43 RBIs. Willy Adames and William Contreras have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 13 homers leads the team, and Contreras is 3rd on the team with 10 homers.
As a team, the Brewers are 4th in home scoring at 5.2 runs per game and have been even better at home. Overall, they are batting .257 as a team (4th) and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage. Overall, they are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per contest.
The Dodgers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 9-3 loss. Los Angeles was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the 1st.
Landon Knack took the loss for the Dodgers, going just 4 1/3 innings, and giving up four earned runs on four hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. The Dodgers’ offense scored their only three runs in the 4th inning.
Los Angeles is 53-35 overall and leads the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are at home today, hosting the Brewers, and they dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 18-15 in divisional games.
As the favorite, the Dodgers are 51-31 this year and 2-4 as the underdog. They have been good on the road at 27-17 and have gone 26-18 at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 17-12-1 and they are 2-2 in their last four series.
When betting the run line on the Dodgers, it’s been a coin flip this season, as they are 43-45. They are 24-20 on the run line on the road, where they are outscoring opponents by 1.5 runs per game. But at home, they are just 19-25 on the run line, with a scoring margin of 0.9 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three home games and are just 2-4 on the run line as the underdog this season.
The Dodgers are at home against the Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Dodgers games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 46-42. Their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 3-7. The over has hit in six straight Dodgers games.
Right-hander Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Brewers at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.23 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .175 off Glasnow this season, and he has a total of 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Glasnow finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.70 compared to 4.12 on the road.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear of late, going 9/30 in his last eight games with four homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .316 with 27 homers and 64 RBIs, which is 5th best in the MLB. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .257.
As a team, the Dodgers are the 2nd highest-scoring team in the MLB this season, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in home runs and have the league’s best on-base percentage and are 2nd in slugging and OPS.
We do like the Dodgers to pick up a win in this one, but with the money line payout sitting at -200, we recommend taking the over at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Dodgers, giving us some room to take the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Glasnow is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today. As for Aaron Civale, his projected strikeout total is five, which ranks 19th among starters.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Questionable | Knee |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Gary Sánchez | Out | Calf |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Joe Ross | Out | Back |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Joey Ortiz | Out | Neck |
| Jared Koenig | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
