Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 7/5/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Blue Jays and Mariners is set for 9:40 PM ET. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-147). The money line odds for a Blue Jays win are sitting at +125, and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 39-48.

Toronto will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, and they are starting Kevin Gausman. The Mariners are starting Luis Castillo, and they are currently 48-41 and in first place in the AL West. SNET is carrying this game on TV.

Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Toronto Blue Jays odds

Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

• The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• The Mariners have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• The Blue Jays have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Blue Jays’ third straight loss. Toronto was the slight favorite at -107 on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Astros scored three times in the first.

Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Astros but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 1st inning. Spencer Horwitz was hot right out of the gates, going 3/4 with two RBIs. The Blue Jays also had three other players with two hits.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 16 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 39-48 as they take on the Mariners today. The Blue Jays lost the final two games of their series vs. the Astros.

On the road, the Blue Jays are 18-24 compared to 21-24 at home. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 9-28 this year, and they are 7-17 as the road underdog. Their overall series record is 9-13-6, and they are 4-6 over their last ten games.

The Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 39-48 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 24-18. Their average run differential on the season is -0.7 runs per game, but they have been outscored by just 0.3 runs per game on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 15-30 on the run line at home.

The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-43. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 0-3. So far this season, 96.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs.

The Blue Jays are sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today as he gets the start on the road vs. the Mariners. Gausman has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.75. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings vs. the Yankees and giving up seven earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gausman has allowed at least one homer in each of his last four outings. This year, he has one complete game shutout and seven quality starts.

One of the Blue Jays’ biggest issues this season has been their lack of power, as they are just 21st in home runs and are averaging only 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 17th in the league. However, they do come into the game with a collective batting average of .296 over their last nine games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .296 for the season with a team-high 13 home runs. He also leads the Blue Jays with 50 RBIs. Daulton Varsho is 2nd on the team in RBIs but is hitting just .199 for the season.

Seattle is coming off a big 7-3 win over the Orioles to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +128 on the money line. It was a five-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Orioles could only score three runs, all of which came in the 3rd.

Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Seattle’s offense was carried by Julio Rodriguez, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Seattle is 48-41 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL West. Currently, they lead the Astros by 2.0 games for the top spot in the division. The Mariners head into today’s game with an AL-best 17-5 record in divisional matchups. At home, the Mariners are 29-16 but just 19-25 on the road.

The Mariners will be hosting the Blue Jays today, and Seattle is 22-11 as the home favorite this year. They are also 30-22 as the favorite overall. Seattle’s series record is 13-13-2, and they have dropped five straight series.

When the Mariners win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 41-48, and they are 22-23 against the run line at home.

Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and the Mariners have gone 36-48 on the over/under line. When the over/under line has been set at 7 runs, Seattle has gone 8-13-4. This season, 66.3% of the Mariners’ games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.

Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 3.87. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has a WHIP of 1.21 and has issued just 2.58 walks per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings.

Julio Rodriguez comes into the game as the Mariners’ 5th leading hitter, batting .247 for the season. He is also 4th on the team with eight home runs. Cal Raleigh has really struggled with his batting average this season, hitting just .198. However, he does lead the team with 51 RBIs and has gone deep 15 times, which is 11th in the league.

Over his last nine games, Cal Raleigh has gone 3/31, and Mitch Garver hasn’t been much better, going 5/24 in his last eight games. Both players have three homers during those stretches. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .216, which is the worst mark in the league right now.

Our pick for today’s Blue Jays vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +125. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kevin Gausman finishing with six strikeouts, and Luis Castillo with five. Castillo is projected to go six innings, compared to Gausman, who we have going five.

Offensively, we have the Blue Jays finishing with nine hits, compared to the Mariners, who we have with eight. The Mariners are actually projected to finish with the fewest hits in the league today.

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (+125)
• The Blue Jays are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report