New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Preview
From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Red Sox and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. The forecast for Friday’s game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 90s. First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET.
Boston is 47-39 and has won four straight, while the Yankees are 54-35 but have lost three in a row. New York is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -141 compared to the Red Sox at +120. Tonight’s over/under line is 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on NESN.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Boston Red Sox odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Red Sox are 5-0. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 3-7 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Red Sox have a straight-up record of 8-2 and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox’s most recent game was a 6-5 win over the Marlins to close out their series. Boston was the heavy favorite going into the game and needed extra innings to pick up the win. The Red Sox scored a run in the top of the 12th and added another two runs in the 12th to pick up the 6-5 win. Boston’s offense was carried by Tyler O’Neill, who went 3/5 with a double, two RBIs, and two runs scored. The Red Sox also got a big game from Nick Pivetta, who went seven innings, and didn’t give up a run.
Zack Kelly picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Greg Weissert picked up the save. The Red Sox’s bullpen was a bit shaky, as they gave up two runs in the bottom of the 11th, but Weissert was able to close things out. Boston’s pitching staff also issued a total of seven walks.
Boston is on a four-game winning streak, and they will be looking to pick up a road win today vs. the Yankees. Currently, the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 7.5 games. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional games.
The Red Sox have an overall record of 47-39, and they closed out their series vs. the Marlins with three straight wins. This year, they are 26-18 as the favorite and an impressive 27-16 on the road. Boston has also been good as the road underdog, going 14-13 this season. Heading into today’s game, they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 25-18 record against the run line on the road, including a current streak of five covers as the underdog. Overall, they’re 40-46 against the run line this season.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road to face the New York Yankees today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.9. The Red Sox have a 42-39 over/under record this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-11. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in 27.9% of their games this season. The over has hit in their last three games.
Right-hander Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 7-6 with a 2.67 ERA. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his 17 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, Houck is averaging 8.78 strikeouts compared to just 1.59 walks. Looking back at his last outing, Houck took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss.
So far this season, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Boston’s offense has been tough to strike out, as they are currently 27th in the league in strikeouts.
Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power hitter this season, as his 18 home runs is 8th in the league. Devers also comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 14/37 with four homers. Jarren Duran is also swinging a hot bat, as he has a six-game hitting streak and is batting .283 for the season.
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with an 8-4 loss. New York was the heavy favorite at -182 going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored three times in the 2nd.
Marcus Stroman took the loss, going just five innings and giving up five earned runs on five hits. The Yankees’s offense scored their only four runs in the 2nd inning. Juan Soto had a homer and finished 1/3. Austin Wells went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Yankees will host the Red Sox today with an overall record of 54-35, which has them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles. New York will be looking to snap their three-game losing streak today, as they dropped the final three games of their series vs. the Reds. So far, they are 12-14 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Yankees are 24-17 this year and have gone 30-18 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 42-29 this year and 12-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Yankees are 17-8-3 and have dropped four straight series at home.
The Yankees are 20-21 against the run line at home this season, and their average run margin in the Bronx is just 0.7 runs per game. They are 34-37 against the run line as the favorite, but just 14-4 as the underdog. The Yankees have gone over the run line in three straight games as the favorite and four straight overall at home.
The Yankees have a combined run average of 9.0, and their over/under record is 47-40. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8, but when the line is set at 8.5, their over/under record is 23-15. In 51 games, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs 20 times, which is 22.5% of their games.
New York is sending Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 3.51. Cortes has made 18 starts this season and has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings vs. the Blue Jays and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had pitched at least six innings in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .236 off Cortes this season, and his ERA at home is 1.92 compared to 5.86 on the road.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 5 runs per game. This is even better than their season average of 4.6 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .248 (9th) and have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, who is also hitting .314 for the season.
Over his last five games, Judge has gone 7/18 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he has 83 RBIs, which is also the best mark in the league. Juan Soto is also having a great season at the plate, batting .300 with 21 homers and 63 RBIs. Giancarlo Stanton is on a 10-game hitting streak.
The best way to play this Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line at -141. We have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us some value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Houck going seven innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Nestor Cortes, we have him going six innings and also finishing with six strikeouts.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Out | Hamstring |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Story | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Triston Casas | Out | Ribs |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Vaughn Grissom | Out | Hamstring |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
