Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 7/4/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Preview

Ben Lively and the Cleveland Guardians will host the Chicago White Sox today, with the game being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -268, while the White Sox are +219 underdogs. First pitch is set for 1:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSGL.

The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Guardians come in with a record of 53-31, while the White Sox are 25-63 overall. Chicago is starting Jared Shuster, while Lively is going for Cleveland. In the AL Central, the White Sox are in 5th place, while the Guardians are leading the division.

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Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• The White Sox are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Guardians have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Guardians have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

Chicago cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the White Sox were at +182 on the money line.

Erick Fedde pitched well for the White Sox in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued three walks. Gavin Williams had a rough outing for the Guardians, giving up five earned runs in just four innings of work.

At the plate, the White Sox were led by Martin Maldonado and Lenyn Sosa, as they were the only two Chicago hitters to have more than one hit. Maldonado, Luis Robert Jr., and Tommy Pham each had two RBIs for the White Sox’ offense.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Chicago is 5th in the AL Central with a record of 25-63, putting them 30 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, the White Sox have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 7-22 this year. They will be playing on the road today, where they are just 9-34 this year.

As the road underdog, the White Sox have gone 9-34 this year, which is the same as their overall road record. Chicago has an overall series record of 6-19-2 this year, and they are just 4-6 in their last 10 games overall. The White Sox have dropped two straight series.

Chicago is 41-47 against the run line this season, including a 19-24 mark on the road. The White Sox have been a solid bet as an underdog, going 36-46 against the run line in those games. They have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog and are 5-1 against the run line as the favorite.

The Chicago White Sox are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The White Sox have a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season and their over/under record is 40-45. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-9-1. Only 4.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current over streak is at 4 games.

Left-hander Jared Shuster is getting the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 17 appearances this season but has yet to make a start. Shuster’s record is 1-0, and he has an ERA of 3.15 to go along with a WHIP of 1.34. Opponents have hit .231 off Shuster this season. In his 34 1/3 innings of work, Shuster has a BB/9 figure of 4.19 compared to 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched was on June 30th, where he went one-third of an inning out of the bullpen and didn’t allow a run.

Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in the league in runs per game at just 3.2. They also have the league’s worst BABIP and are near the bottom of the league in home runs, batting average, and on-base percentage. One of the few bright spots for the White Sox has been the play of Andrew Vaughn and Paul DeJong, who have 11 and 15 homers, respectively.

Looking at the team’s recent performances, Luis Robert Jr. has gone 9/25 in his last six games, including three homers. He is also on a six-game hitting streak. Andrew Vaughn is also on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .244 for the season.

Cleveland is 53-31 overall and leads the AL Central by six games over the Twins. The Guardians will take on the White Sox today at home, and they are 13-10 against other teams in the AL Central. As the home team, the Guardians have gone 27-10 this year and are 26-21 on the road.

The Guardians have been good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 37-17. As for their record as the underdog, they are 16-14 this season. Cleveland’s overall series record is 17-7-2, and they are tied in their current series vs. the White Sox.

The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 46-38 overall. They have been even better at home, where they are 20-17 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.1 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 26-21 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 20-10 against the run line in those games.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is higher than the average line for Cleveland’s games this season, which is set at 8 runs. The over/under record for the Guardians is 41-37, and the combined run average in their games is 8.8 runs per game. When the line is set at 9 runs, the over/under record for Cleveland is 5-7-2, and the over has hit in two straight games.

Ben Lively will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Royals, he gave up six hits, one walk, and one home run. Lively ended up taking the loss in that game. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Lively has a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.03. Opponents are batting .230 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Lively is averaging 2.65 walks compared to 7.7 strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 76 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB, and his 23 homers are good for 4th in the league. However, he has struggled a bit of late, batting just .211 over his last five games. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 61 is 6th in the MLB. Naylor has 20 homers this season, which is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league.

Overall, the Guardians have been one of the MLB’s best offenses this season, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .317 is 10th in the league.

The best way to play the money line in this one is to take the Guardians to pick up the win at home. However, with a payout of -268, we recommend taking the over at 9 runs, where the payout is -103.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ben Lively is one of our least favorite options today. We have him going just four innings and finishing with two strikeouts. As for the White Sox, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Guardians on the moneyline
• The Guardians should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Chicago White Sox Injury Report