Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Prediction & Betting Tips 7/3/2024

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Preview

Wednesday’s matchup between the Giants and Braves has a first pitch set for 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -201, while the Giants are at +170. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Chris Sale will be starting for the Braves, while the Giants are sending Jordan Hicks to the mound. San Francisco is 42-44 and is 3rd in the NL West, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East. The Giants are currently on a two-game winning streak.

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Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Giants have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
• In the Braves’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Braves have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Giants’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 6-4 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

San Francisco picked up a 5-3 road win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Giants offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Braves got on the board with two runs in the 5th and added their final run in the 8th.

Heliot Ramos and Jorge Soler each homered for the Giants, while LaMonte Wade Jr. scored three times and drove in a run while going 1/4. Mike Yastrzemski also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Hayden Birdsong only went five innings for the Giants but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. Camilo Doval got the save.

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

San Francisco is 42-44 overall and 11 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants have gone 15-14 in divisional games this year and have won two straight games overall. Their two-game winning streak has come after dropping the final two games before the All-Star break.

At home, the Giants are 25-19 this year, and they are just below .500 at 17-25 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 18-26 this year, and they are 11-18 as the road underdog. San Francisco has won two straight games as the underdog overall, and they are 24-18 when favored this year. The Giants’ overall series record is 14-11-2, and they have won two straight series.

The Giants are 42-44 against the run line this season, including a 22-20 mark on the road. They have a run differential of -0.3 runs per game overall, but that number is slightly worse on the road at -0.7 runs per game. San Francisco has been an underdog in 44 games this season, going 24-20 against the run line in those contests.

The Giants are on the road in Atlanta today, where the over/under line is set at 8 runs. San Francisco’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-35. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Giants have gone 8-10-2. So far this season, 27 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 31.4% of their games.

Jordan Hicks gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 3.36. So far, Hicks has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Hicks’ ERA for the season is 3.93 on the road compared to 3.27 at home. His ERA for the month of June is 4.26.

Heading into today’s game, the Giants offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been equally as good at home and on the road this season. As a team, the Giants are batting .248, which is 11th in the league, and are 8th in on-base percentage. San Francisco’s offense has been led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos, who are both tied for the team lead with 11 homers. Chapman has gone 10/31 in his last eight games, with three homers and nine RBIs, while Ramos is also hitting the ball well, going 11/32 in his last eight games.

Not only does Ramos have a three-game hitting streak, but so do Jorge Soler and Thairo Estrada. Soler is 2nd on the team with 10 homers but is batting just .229 for the season. Estrada is also below the Mendoza line, with a batting average of .231.

With a record of 46-37, the Braves are nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta has dropped two straight games, and they are 12-11 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves lost the series opener vs. the Giants but are 16-10-2 in series play this year.

At home, the Braves are 26-15 this year and 20-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 43-31 but just 3-6 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall record is accompanied by a mark of 4-6 over their last ten games.

When betting the run line on the Braves, it’s been a 50-50 proposition on the road, but they’ve been a losing bet at home. The average run margin for the Braves this season is +0.6 runs per game, and they are 39-44 against the run line overall. They are 18-23 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 34-40 against the run line, and they have failed to cover the run line in three straight games at home.

When the Atlanta Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Braves have played 58 games with a higher over/under line than 8 runs, which accounts for 69.9% of their games. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 29-50. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 4-4-1.

Left-hander Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Giants at home. Sale has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 10-3 with a 2.79 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Sale has a WHIP of .92 and opponents are batting .197 this season. In his last outing, Sale took the loss, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Sale has been much better at home, coming in with a 7-0 record and 3.64 ERA compared to 3-3 with a 2.65 ERA on the road.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .296 with 21 home runs and 67 RBIs, which is 4th best in the league. Ozuna has also been getting on base at a high rate, with an OBP of .379. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 12 homers but is batting just .239 for the season.

Over the past six games, Jarred Kelenic has gone 7/22 for the Braves, including one home run and two RBIs. Austin Riley has also gone deep twice in his last six games but is batting just .200 in that stretch. Currently, Adam Duvall and Michael Harris II are both on four-game hitting streaks, while Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna Jr. are both on five-game streaks.

Given the payout and our predicted final score, we really like the Giants on the money line today. You can get the Giants at +170, and we have them winning this one 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could also look to the over/under, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Jordan Hicks. However, we still have Sale finishing with seven Ks compared to Hicks with four.

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips

• We like the Giants on the moneyline (+170)
• The Giants are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

San Francisco Giants Injury Report