St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Preview
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Braves and Cardinals facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 7:45 PM ET, and it is being televised by BSMW.
Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Braves, and they are 43-33, which has them 2nd in the NL East. The Cardinals are on a four-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the NL Central. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line tonight (+117). The over/under line is 8.5 runs, and the Braves are favored (-138) on the money line.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – Atlanta Braves odds
St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Braves in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Cardinals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- The Braves have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 6-4.
- The Cardinals have a 4-6 record vs. the runline and a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Thanks to a four-run 3rd inning for the Cardinals’ offense, they were able to pick up a 4-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were at +107 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Lance Lynn for the Cardinals, and he went 6 2/3 innings while giving up just one run and picked up a win. Spencer Schwellenbach got the start for the Braves and went five innings, giving up four runs and took the loss.
St. Louis got a huge performance from Brendan Donovan, as he went 3/4 with a home run and scored all four of the Cardinals’ runs. Alec Burleson and Michael Siani each had two hits and an RBI.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
With an overall record of 43-33, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone just 12-11 in divisional games. The Braves are on the road today, and they are 19-20 in away games compared to going 24-13 at home.
Atlanta has been the favorite in most of their games, as they are 40-27 in those matchups. As for their record as the underdog, the Braves are just 3-6 this year. The team has been good in series this year, putting together an overall record of 15-8-2 and have won three straight series.
When the Braves win, they win by an average of 3.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their average run differential for the season is +0.6 runs per game. They are 37-39 against the run line this season, including 20-19 on the road and 17-20 at home.
Today’s over/under line for the Atlanta Braves’ game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have an over/under record of 28-45 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.2 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-15. Overall, 42.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in their last two contests.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-2 with an ERA of 1.57. So far, López has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Tigers, he went five innings and got the win. Looking back across his last four outings, López has given up a total of four earned runs. Opponents are batting .208 this season vs. López, and his WHIP is currently 1.08.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 21 home runs are 4th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. He is also 3rd in the MLB with 64 RBIs. Ozuna has also been hot of late, as he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last eight games, Austin Riley is batting .393 with three homers.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. This is the same number of runs they are averaging on the road. As a team, they are batting .245 and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are 10th in home runs.
St. Louis is currently 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by five games. The Cardinals have an overall record of 40-37 as they host the Braves today. The Cardinals have won four straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last ten.
At home, the Cardinals are 21-15 this season, and they have gone 19-22 on the road. St. Louis has been good as the home underdog, going 7-4 this year. As the underdog, overall, the Cardinals are an even 20-20.
The Cardinals have been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 22-14. Their overall run line record is 40-37. They have covered the run line in eight straight games at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 25-15 compared to 15-22 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.4, while it is -3.4 in losing games.
The St. Louis Cardinals are hosting the Atlanta Braves today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-41 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-9. So far this season, 22.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Cubs, he went seven innings, picking up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting .225 off him this year. Gibson’s ERA is 3.44, along with a record of 5-2. For the season, he has allowed 10 home runs and is averaging 7.85 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander has turned in eight quality starts this year.
Over his last eight games, Alec Burleson has gone 12/29 with three homers and nine RBIs. Brendan Donovan has also been hot of late, going 15/34 with three homers and 10 RBIs. Donovan and Burleson are the team’s top two home run hitters for the season, with eight and 12 homers, respectively. Donovan’s 39 RBIs are the most on the team, while Burleson is 3rd with 33 RBIs.
As a team, the Cardinals are batting a collective .241, which is 13th in the league. They are 23rd in scoring (4 runs per game) and have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. St. Louis comes into the game with a team on-base percentage of .306 and a slugging percentage of .381.
With the money line, we see the Cardinals as a great value at +117. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Cardinals, giving us some room to take the Cardinals on the run line if you prefer that.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Kyle Gibson is projected to finish with four strikeouts compared to Reynaldo López with five. However, Gibson is projected to finish with the highest earned runs allowed among today’s starters.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | Questionable | Forearm |
| Kyle Gibson | Probable | Back |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Iván Herrera | Out | Back |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
| Lars Nootbaar | Out | Oblique |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| Orlando Arcia | Questionable | Illness |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Herget | Out | Shoulder |
| Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
| Michael Harris II | Out | Hamstring |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
| AJ Smith-Shawver | Out | Oblique |
| Hurston Waldrep | Out | Elbow |
