Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 6/24/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Preview

At 6:50 PM ET, the Mariners and Rays will square off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, and the Rays are favored on the money line (-190). The money line odds for a Mariners win are sitting at -111, and they are first in the AL West with a record of 45-35.

Monday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and BSSUN is carrying the game on TV. The forecast for Monday’s game calls for thunderstorms in the St. Petersburg area. Bryan Woo is starting for the Mariners, while the Rays are going with Taj Bradley.

Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Rays – Seattle Mariners odds

Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• The Mariners are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Rays have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a record of 7-3, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
• The Rays hold a 7-3 record as the favorite and a 5-5 record as the underdog.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Luke Raley had a big game for the Mariners in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. However, the Mariners couldn’t come up with the win, as they fell 6-4 to the Marlins. Seattle was the heavy favorite going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Marlins scored four times in the first.

Bryce Miller got the start for the Mariners and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up six earned runs on six hits. Seattle’s offense scored their four runs in the 4th inning.

Seattle is 45-35 overall, putting them 1st in the AL West. They have a 6.0 game lead over the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners lost two of three in their series vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Mariners have gone 27-12, and they are just above .500 at 18-23 on the road. Seattle’s two-game losing streak came after winning two straight series. So far, they are 29-20 as the favorite and 16-15 as the underdog. The Mariners’ overall series record is 13-10-2 this year.

Seattle has been a team to watch on the run line this season, as they are 38-42 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 21-18, compared to 17-24 on the road. The Mariners have been a favorite in 49 games, going 21-28, while they have been an underdog in 31 games, going 17-14. Their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game, but it jumps to +0.9 runs per game at home.

Seattle is on the road against Tampa Bay today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have a combined run average of 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-44. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game, and they are 9-15 in games with a 7.5-run line. The over has hit in two straight games for Seattle.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made four quality starts in a row and has a record of 3-1 this season. Woo’s ERA is an impressive 1.67, and his WHIP for the season is .61. So far, he has made four starts on the road, going 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA. At home, he is 1-0 with a 0.56 ERA. In his last outing, Woo took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had not given up more than two earned runs in a start this season.

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as he leads the team with 12 home runs and 45 RBIs, which is 15th in the league. However, he is batting just .198 for the season. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .260 and has gone deep seven times, while Luke Raley is batting .263 and is 2nd on the team with nine homers.

Seattle’s offense has been struggling this season, as they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst in the MLB. Their batting average of .221 is also near the bottom of the league. One thing they have done well is draw walks, and they are 8th in the league in home runs.

Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Rays closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +141 on the money line. Offensively, the Rays scored their three runs on nine hits and only had one home run.

Aaron Civale got the start for the Rays, going five innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Yandy Diaz was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and scoring a run. The Rays also had three other players with a single.

Tampa Bay is 38-40 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. The Rays are 10-17 against other AL East teams this season. They have been good on the road at 19-17 compared to 19-23 at home.

As the favorite, the Rays are 22-20 this year and 16-20 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 12-11-2, and they have won two straight series. Their last series win came vs. the Pirates, taking the series 2-1. Currently, they are at home and are 5-9 as the underdog this year.

Seattle is 22-14 against the run line on the road this season, while the Rays are just 13-29 against the run line at home. Tampa Bay’s average run margin in winning games is +2.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8. The Rays have covered the run line in six straight games as the underdog.

When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-36. Overall, the average over/under line for Rays games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 13-9. The over has hit in 67.9% of their games this season when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Currently, they are on a two-game under streak.

Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Twins, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and he issued two homers in that outing. Looking back further, Bradley has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 4.06, along with a record of 2-4. Opponents are batting .223 off Bradley this season. Out of his eight starts, he has three quality starts and is averaging 10.76 strikeouts per nine innings.

Yandy Diaz has been on a tear for the Rays, going 10/24 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .271 and is on a 16-game hitting streak. Isaac Paredes has been the team’s top power threat, with 11 homers, which is 14th in the league. He also leads the team with 39 RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just four runs per game, which is 24th in the league. Their home and road splits are not that different, as they are averaging 4.3 runs on the road and 3.7 at home. Overall, they are batting just .235 and are near the bottom of the league in home runs.

Our pick for today’s Mariners vs. Rays matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -111. We see this game ending with a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Mariners.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Bryan Woo’s strikeout prediction for the Mariners’ starter at seven, which is the highest among today’s starters. As for the Rays’ starter, our projections have him finishing with seven K’s, which is the second-best among today’s starters.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• We like the Mariners on the moneyline (-111)
• The Mariners are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report