San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The forecast for Sunday’s Brewers vs. Padres matchup calls for temperatures in the low 70s and partly cloudy skies in San Diego. First pitch from PETCO Park is set for 4:10 PM ET. BSWI is carrying the game on TV.
The Padres are favored on the money line (-136) over the Brewers (+115), and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. Milwaukee is looking to snap a three-game losing streak, and they are 1st in the NL Central, while the Padres have won four straight and are 2nd in the NL West. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Michael King for the Padres.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Milwaukee Brewers odds
San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Brewers have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Padres have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
San Diego picked up a 6-4 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 4th inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Brewers, they scored four of their runs in the 9th inning. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +100 on the money line.
Randy Vásquez got the win for the Padres, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and issued three walks. Robert Suarez got the save. Carlos Rodriguez only went four innings for the Brewers, giving up four runs on six hits.
At the plate, Jackson Merrill was the difference for the Padres, as he went 3/3 with a home run and three RBIs. Ha-Seong Kim and Kyle Higashioka each drove in two for San Diego’s offense.
San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee is on the road today, and they have dropped three straight games overall. The Brewers are 44-33 this season, good for a five-game lead over the Cardinals in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 18-9 against other teams in the division.
The Brewers have dropped three straight on the road, and they are 22-21 as the road team this year. Milwaukee has an overall series record of 15-7-2 this year and have won four straight series.
When the Brewers are favored, they have been a poor run line bet this season, going just 15-25. However, when they are the underdog, they have been a much better bet, going 24-13. Overall, they are 39-38 vs. the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the San Diego Padres, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 41-33. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 20-14. The over has hit in three straight games for Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Padres. Myers has made nine starts this season and has a record of 4-2. His ERA for the season is 3.25, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Myers has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.65. In his most recent outing, he went 6 1/3 innings vs. the Angels, picking up the win and not allowing a run. Myers has won each of his last three starts. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.04 strikeouts per nine innings.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 13 homers is the best mark on the team, while Contreras is 3rd on the team with nine homers and is batting .293. Adames also comes into the game with a seven-game hitting streak. Rhys Hoskins has 10 homers this season, but is batting just .223.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. They are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Over his last eight games, Brice Turang is batting .344 with two homers.
San Diego is currently 41-40 overall and trail the Dodgers by eight games in the NL West. The Padres have a four-game winning streak, and they have won the first three games of this series vs. the Brewers. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 21-21 this season, and they are just above .500 at 20-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 26-23 this year and 15-17 as the underdog. San Diego has won six straight games at home, and their overall series record is 13-10-3. They are also looking to improve on their 5-5 mark over their last 10 games.
San Diego is 42-39 against the run line this season, including a 27-12 mark on the road. The Padres have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game overall, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 22-10 against the run line as the underdog.
San Diego is at home tonight against Milwaukee, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-39. Their games have gone over the total in three straight contests, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-11.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 5-4 and ERA of 3.49. He has made 15 starts this season and has a total of six quality starts. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27, and he is averaging 10.37 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been solid at home, with an ERA of 4.31 compared to 3.73 on the road.
As a team, the Padres are batting .261 this season, which is the best mark in the league. They are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the top slugging percentage in the MLB. San Diego’s offense has been even better of late, as they are averaging 5.2 runs per game over their last 10 games. Leading the way for the Padres has been Jake Cronenworth, who has 12 homers this season and is batting .266.
Over his last 10 games, Jackson Merrill has been on fire, going 13/34 with seven home runs and 11 RBIs. Jurickson Profar is also on a hot streak, coming into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Fernando Tatis Jr. is also a player to watch, as he is 11th in the league with 14 homers and is batting .279 for the season.
Given the payout, we really like the Brewers to pick up a win on the money line, and at +115, this is a great payout. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, and with the payout, we would recommend sticking with the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael King going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Tobias Myers, we have him going six innings and finishing with five K’s.
San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+115)
- The Brewers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | Out | Shoulder |
| Yu Darvish | Out | Groin |
| Jurickson Profar | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Questionable | Tricep |
| Luis Campusano | Out | Thumb |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Glenn Otto | Out | Shoulder |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Joe Ross | Out | Back |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
