Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
Casey Mize and the Tigers (31-32) will host the Brewers (37-26) today at Comerica Park in Detroit, and the forecast looks good with temperatures in the low 70s and partly cloudy skies. Milwaukee is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -173 compared to the Tigers at +146. The over/under line is at 8 runs.
First pitch for this interleague matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET, and BSDET will be carrying the game on TV. Saturday’s matchup features Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and he is facing a Tigers club that has lost two straight.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Tigers – Milwaukee Brewers odds
Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Brewers in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Tigers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Brewers are 6-4 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Tigers have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Tigers by a score of 10-0. The Brewers offense only had three more hits than the Tigers and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -103 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Reese Olson for the Tigers. Myers went eight innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. Olson only went four innings and gave up eight earned runs, taking the loss.
Milwaukee’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as they combined for nine of the team’s 10 runs and all three of their home runs. Brice Turang, Blake Perkins, Christian Yelich, and Joey Ortiz each had two RBIs.
Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee is currently 37-26 overall and leads the NL Central by 6.5 games over the Reds. They have gone 16-8 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers have won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 18-12 when favored this year.
The Brewers have been slightly better on the road (19-16) compared to at home (18-10). Milwaukee took the series opener vs. the Tigers and have an overall series record of 11-7-2. Looking at their overall record, the Brewers have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 34-29, with a 21-14 mark on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog (23-10) than as a favorite (11-19).
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 9.0 runs. Overall, the over/under record for Milwaukee this season is 35-27, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-5. So far this season, 58.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Freddy Peralta is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the White Sox. In that June 2nd start, he went 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs, and he issued 4 walks. Against the White Sox, Peralta gave up 1 homer. Looking back at his last four starts, Peralta has given up at least one homer in each outing. His ERA for the season is 3.74, along with a record of 4-3. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. This year, he has made 12 starts, five of which were quality starts.
William Contreras has been the Brewers’ best hitter this season, coming into the game with a batting average of .311 and a team-high 46 RBIs. He is also 13th in the league with eight home runs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat for the Brewers, as his 10 homers is the best mark on the team and 11th best in the league. However, he is batting just .237 for the season.
As a team, the Brewers are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top team in terms of batting average and have the best team BABIP in the league.
Detroit is 31-32 overall, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today vs. the Brewers. The Tigers are 9.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central and are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone 10-9 in divisional games.
At home, the Tigers are 14-16 this year and 17-16 on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 16-19 compared to 15-13 as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 9-7-4.
The Tigers have been a good bet on the run line on the road this season, going 18-15. They are just 9-21 against the run line at home, where they have a losing streak against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 21-14 against the run line. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going 6-22 against the run line.
The Detroit Tigers are at home today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Tigers’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-26. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 5-7-2. So far this season, 34.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and 42.9% have had lines set lower than 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.
Through 11 starts, Casey Mize has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.70. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a short outing against the Red Sox, where he went just 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, 4 hits, and 4 walks. Mize finished with a no-decision in that outing. The right-hander has not won a game at home, coming in with a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 3.47. On the road, he is 1-2 with a 9.19 ERA. So far, Mize has allowed 6 home runs.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the MLB. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Detroit’s offense is batting a collective .229 this season, and their on-base percentage of .296 is also near the bottom of the league. The Tigers are also just 18th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .375.
Riley Greene has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/27 in his last seven games with one home run. For the season, he is batting .241 with a team-high 11 homers. Kerry Carpenter is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is batting .283 with eight homers. Carpenter’s 29 RBIs are the most on the team.
Our predictions for this game are that the Tigers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the Tigers being the underdogs, there is a lot of value in taking them on the money line, where they are currently at +146.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Freddy Peralta going 9th in terms of innings pitched, and his strikeout numbers have him at 12th. As for Casey Mize, he is predicted to go six innings and has the third-best ERA among starters.
Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- We like the Tigers on the moneyline (+146)
- The Tigers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | Questionable | Abdomen |
| Jack Flaherty | Probable | Back |
| Alex Faedo | Out | Hip |
| Kerry Carpenter | Out | Back |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Joe Ross | Out | Back |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Sal Frelick | Questionable | Shoulder |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
