Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles on Friday, and he is facing off against Aaron Civale for the Rays. The money line odds have the Orioles as the favorite at -148, while the Rays are sitting at +126. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the low 70s.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 35-19. The Rays are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 28-29. This game can be seen on BSSUN.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Tampa Bay Rays odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rays have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- In the Orioles’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 7-3 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rays have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Rays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After allowing four runs to the Athletics in the top of the third, the Rays responded with two runs of their own. Tampa Bay went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Jose Siri went 2/5 with two homers for the Rays, and Isaac Paredes was only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run. The Rays’s bullpen was also impressive, as they didn’t allow a run after taking over for Shawn Armstrong, who only went two innings as the starter.
Tampa Bay is 28-29 overall and trails the Yankees by 10.5 games in the AL East. The Rays are also 3rd in the AL East, and they have gone 9-11 in divisional games this year. The Rays have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a win.
As the road team today, the Rays are 11-11 this season compared to 17-18 at home. So far, they have been the underdog in three straight games, and they are 10-10 as the underdog overall. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 8-8-2 this year, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When the Tampa Bay Rays are the underdog, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 12-8. They have been a bad bet when favored, going 11-26 on the run line. Their average run differential in wins is +2.3, while it is -3.9 in losses.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. The Rays have played 56 games this season, and 29 of them have gone over the total. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 8 of 20 games, and just 6 of their 56 games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.
The Rays are sending Aaron Civale to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he comes in with a record of 2-4 and ERA of 5.72. So far, he has made 11 starts and three of them have been quality starts. Civale’s WHIP for the season is 1.34, and opponents are batting .262 this season. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Civale has a 7.57 ERA on the road compared to 4.74 at home.
So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. However, they do come into the game with a collective batting average of .233, which is 19th in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is their team BABIP of .29, which is 8th in the league, so they may have some positive regression coming in terms of their overall offensive numbers.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays offense this season, as he is batting .295 with 10 homers, which is the best mark on the team. He also comes into the game with a team-high 32 RBIs. Over his last four games, Jose Siri is 5/14 with two homers and four RBIs.
The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 6-1 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the top of the 2nd, the Orioles responded with five runs of their own. Baltimore went on to add another run in the 2nd, and closed things out with a 6th-inning score.
Corbin Burnes put together a good start for the Orioles, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and issued only three walks. Burnes only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
With an overall record of 35-19, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have been really good against other teams in the AL East, putting together a mark of 9-3. Baltimore is coming off taking two of three games vs. the Red Sox.
At home, the Orioles are 19-11 this season, and they have gone 16-8 on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore is 28-17 and 7-2 as the underdog. So far this season, they have an overall series record of 12-4-2, and they have won two straight series.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.1 runs per game. Overall, their average run differential is +1.3 runs per game, and they are 30-24 against the run line this season. They are 16-14 against the run line at home and 14-10 against the run line on the road. They are 23-22 against the run line as the favorite and 7-2 against the run line as the underdog.
The Baltimore Orioles are hosting the Tampa Bay Rays today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 8.8 runs per game. Overall, the over has hit in 27 of their 47 games this season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 10-7 in those games. The over/under line for their games is typically set at 8 runs, and only 25.9% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 8.5-run total.
Through 11 appearances and four starts, Albert Suárez has an ERA of 1.53 and a record of 2-0. He has yet to take a loss this season. Suárez most recently started on May 25th against the White Sox, where he went four innings, giving up two hits, two walks, and no earned runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. The right-hander has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Suárez has made 6 appearances on the road, and his ERA is 0.75 compared to 1.8 at home.
Baltimore has been one of the league’s most powerful lineups so far, as they are 2nd in home runs and are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the majors. Their team batting average of .243 is 10th in the league, and they have the best isolated power mark in the MLB. Baltimore’s offense has been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Henderson leading the team with 18 homers and Rutschman’s 10 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Rutschman comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .299 overall. Ryan Mountcastle has been hot of late, hitting .406 over his last nine games.
Getting the Orioles at -148 on the money line is the way we recommend playing this one. We have the Orioles winning this game by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could look to pair the Orioles with another team, as the payout for a straight up Orioles win isn’t all that high.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Albert Suarez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for fourth among starters today. As for Aaron Civale, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is seventh worst among starters.
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Forearm |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Jordan Westburg | Questionable | Hand |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | Out | Back |
| Josh Lowe | Out | Side |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Taylor Walls | Out | Hip |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Colin Poche | Out | Back |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
