New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Preview
At 7:05 PM ET, the Mariners and Yankees face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -137 compared to the Mariners at +117. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Seattle comes in with a record of 25-22 and will be starting Logan Gilbert. The Yankees will have Marcus Stroman on the mound and are looking to extend their seven-game winning streak. New York is currently 1st in the AL East, while the Mariners are atop the AL West. YES will be televising Monday’s game.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Seattle Mariners odds
New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- The Mariners are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- In the Yankees’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Mariners have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Luke Raley and the Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-3 loss. Seattle was the +125 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mariners, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the first.
George Kirby took the loss, going six innings and giving up five earned runs on nine hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and issued one walk. Offensively, the Mariners scored their three runs on nine hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Seattle is 25-22 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 1.5 games over the Rangers. So far, they have gone 6-3 against other teams in the AL West. The Mariners are just above .500 on the road at 10-12 compared to being 15-10 at home.
The Mariners lost two of three games to the Orioles in their most recent series. This came after winning two straight series vs. the Indians and Tigers. So far, they have an overall series record of 8-6-1. As the road underdog, the Mariners are 6-9 this year, and they are 10-11 when not favored in a game. As for their record as the favorite, Seattle is 15-11.
When the Mariners win, they do so by an average of 3.2 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Overall, their run differential is exactly 0.0 runs per game, and they are 23-24 against the run line this season. They are 10-12 against the run line on the road, where they are being outscored by 0.4 runs per game.
Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 17-27, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have a 3-6-1 record. Overall, 55.3% of their games have had over/under lines set below 8 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Yankees on the road. Gilbert has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.07 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gilbert has a WHIP of .95 and opponents are batting .183 this season. In his last outing, Gilbert gave up three earned runs and took the loss in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Gilbert has allowed a total of seven homers this season.
Julio Rodríguez has been on a tear of late for the Mariners, going 12/28 in his last seven games with one home run and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .274 with two homers. Cal Raleigh is 5th in the league with 10 homers and is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 25. He is also on a four-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. Overall, they are batting just .228, which is 18th in the MLB. However, they do come in with the 7th most home runs in the league.
Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Yankees closed out the series with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -321. Offensively, the Yankees scored their seven runs on json0 hits and only hit two home runs.
Carlos Rodon put together a good start for the Yankees, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
The Yankees are currently 33-15 overall and lead the AL East by two games over the Orioles. New York is riding a seven-game winning streak, and they are 8-8 against other teams in the AL East. At home, the Yankees are 16-6 this year and have gone 17-9 on the road.
So far, the Yankees have been really good in day games, going 14-6 this year. As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 24-11 and are 9-4 as the underdog. New York has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 12-2-1.
When the Yankees are at home, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 11-11. Their average run margin at home is 1.8, and they have covered the run line in three straight games at Yankee Stadium. As the underdog, they are 10-3 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 17-18.
The Yankees have had a combined run average of 8.1 this season, and their over/under record is 19-27. The over/under line for today’s game against the Mariners is set at 8 runs. So far this season, 66.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher, and their record in games with an 8-run line is 3-7.
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t allow a run. Against the Twins on May 15th, Stroman picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Stroman has made nine starts and three of them have been quality starts. For the season, he has a record of 3-2, an ERA of 3.33, and a WHIP of 1.42. Stroman’s ERA at home is 4.06 compared to 3.09 on the road.
Not only are the Yankees the top home run hitting team in the league, but they are also 5th in runs per game at 4.9. This includes averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.6 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 4th in the league, and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.
Both Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton come into the game with three homers in their last five and six games, respectively. Judge is hitting .500 over his last six games, while Stanton is batting .400 in that stretch. Juan Soto has also been a key part of the lineup, as he is batting .311 for the season and has gone deep 11 times.
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Yankees, and we see the best value on the money line at -137. Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with eight hits, compared to the Mariners with eight.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with four strikeouts compared to Logan Gilbert with five. Stroman is also projected to give up fewer earned runs than Gilbert.
If you’re looking for a potential home run pick, the Mariners are actually projected to hit more home runs than the Yankees, with the Mariners predicted to finish with four and the Yankees with three.
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Questionable | Hamstring |
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Oblique |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
