Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Preview
At 1:35 PM ET, the Mariners and Orioles face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Mariners are 1st in the AL West with a record of 25-21, while the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 28-15.
The money line odds have the Orioles as the favorites, with their line sitting at -153 compared to the Mariners at +130. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. George Kirby is starting for the Mariners, while Corbin Burnes goes for the Orioles. RSNW is carrying this one on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – Seattle Mariners odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mariners have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 2-8 against the runline.
- The Mariners have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Seattle picked up a 4-3 road win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Orioles could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +115 on the money line.
Luis Castillo started for the Mariners and went six innings while giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued four walks. Ryne Stanek got the win out of the bullpen, and Andrés Muñoz got the save.
Grayson Rodriguez put together a good outing for the Orioles, going six innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He finished the game with a win. Yennier Cano took the loss.
Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is 25-21 overall and leads the AL West by 1.5 games over the Rangers. So far, they have gone 6-3 in divisional matchups. The Mariners are playing game three of their series vs. the Orioles, and they are 8-5-1 in series record this year.
At home, the Mariners have been solid at 15-10 but are just one game above .500 at 10-11 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners are 10-10 this year compared to a mark of 15-11 as the favorite. Looking at their recent performance, the Mariners are 5-5 over their last ten games.
Seattle is 23-23 against the run line this season, with a +0.1 run differential per game. The Mariners are 10-11 against the run line on the road, where they have a -0.2 run differential per game. They’re 12-14 against the run line as the favorite and 11-9 as the underdog.
Seattle’s over/under record is 16-27 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, their record is 6-8. The Mariners’ games have averaged 7.5 runs per game, and today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.
Right-hander George Kirby is starting for the Mariners today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Through nine starts, Kirby has a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.58. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of .95 and has pitched 50 1/3 innings. He has turned in five quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Royals, Kirby went seven innings, picking up the win. This year, he has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 4.53 compared to 0-2 with a 4.99 ERA on the road.
Julio Rodríguez has been on a tear of late for the Mariners, going 10/24 in his last six games with a home run and two RBIs. For the season, he is batting .269 and is 5th on the team with two homers. Catcher Cal Raleigh has a team-high 10 homers, which is 5th in the league, and is also 1st on the Mariners with 25 RBIs. Raleigh is also on a three-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mariners are batting just .227, which is 19th in the league, and are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts per game. Overall, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. However, they do come into the game as the league’s 7th ranked home run-hitting team.
Baltimore is 28-15 overall and trails the Yankees by two games for the AL East lead. The Orioles have gone 7-2 in divisional games this year. The Orioles will be taking on the Mariners at home today, and they are 12-5 on the road and 16-10 at home.
So far, the Orioles have been really good as the underdog, putting up a record of 7-1. They are also 15-9 as the favorite at home. Baltimore’s overall series record is 9-3-2, and they are currently tied with the Mariners in this series 1-1. The Orioles are 6-4 across their last 10 games.
The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 23-20 overall. They are 13-13 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of +1.0 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, going 10-7 against the run line with an average run margin of +1.6 runs per game.
The Orioles have played 35 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 21-18. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the Orioles’ over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 1-3.
Corbin Burnes has made six straight quality starts and has a record of 3-2 this season. His ERA is an impressive 2.68, along with a WHIP of 1.01. Burnes’ last outing came against the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that outing, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts. Burnes has only allowed more than two earned runs in a start once this season.
As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 4th in the league in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. So far, they are batting .245 as a team, which is 9th in the league. Baltimore has been patient at the plate, as they are 7th in the league in walks, but their team OBP of .305 is just 15th in the MLB.
Adley Rutschman has been one of the Orioles’ top hitters this season, batting .309 with a team-high 9 home runs. He has also gone 4/26 with four homers in his last six games. Gunnar Henderson has been the league’s top power hitter so far, as his 14 homers are the best in the league. He also leads the team with 30 RBIs.
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Mariners matchup is that the Orioles will pick up a 5-4 win at home. If you’re looking for a bet with more value, we would recommend taking the Orioles on the money line, as their payout is at -153.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters. As for George Kirby, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Questionable | Hamstring |
| J.P. Crawford | Out | Oblique |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
