Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Preview
First pitch for Thursday’s matchup between the Mets and Phillies is set for 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are currently on a three-game winning streak and they have the best record in the NL East of 31-13. The Mets are 4th in the NL East with a record of 19-23.
Jose Quintana will go for the Mets, while the Phillies are sending Taijuan Walker to the mound. Philadelphia is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -150 compared to the Mets at +128. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – New York Mets odds
Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats
- The Mets are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Phillies, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- As the favorite, the Phillies are 8-2 over their last ten games, including going 6-4 vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Mets have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Philadelphia cruised to a 10-5 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Mets, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -203 on the money line.
Ranger Suarez only went five innings for the Phillies but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two walks. Joey Lucchesi had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber each drove in three runs for the Phillies’ offense. Harper, J.D. Martinez, and Mark Vientos each homered in the game. Martinez hit the game’s only home run.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction
With an overall record of 19-23, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 11 games. New York has dropped three straight games, and they are 3-7 across their last 10. So far, they have gone just 3-6 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Mets have gone 10-14 this season, and they are just above .500 at 9-9 on the road. As the underdog, New York has struggled, going 8-13 this year, which includes losing four straight as the underdog overall. They are 11-10 when favored this year.
The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 19-23 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 11-7 against the run line. Their average run differential on the season is -0.2 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.4 runs per game at home.
The Mets’ over/under record is 20-22 this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Phillies is 8.5 runs, and the Mets have played eight games with that line, going 4-4 in those contests. Overall, 64.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.44. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is 1.55. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Braves. Quintana has given up at least one home run in each of his last three outings. So far, he has made one quality start this year. Opponents are batting .275 off Quintana this season.
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .307 is also 17th in the league.
Brandon Nimmo is batting just .215 for the season, but he has been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/30 in his last nine games with three homers. Pete Alonso has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/34 with a homer in his last nine games. For the season, Alonso is batting just .225.
With an overall record of 31-13, the Phillies lead the NL East by three games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken three straight games overall, and they are 8-4 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies have been really good at home this year, going 16-7, and they have gone 15-6 on the road.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 19-6 this year. The Phillies have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 26-10 when favored this year. As the underdog, Philadelphia has gone 5-3, and they are 9-2-3 in series this year.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 24-20 overall. They are 13-8 on the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +1.8 runs per game. They have been favored in 36 of their 41 games, going 19-17 on the run line in those contests.
The Phillies have played 50 games this season, and 34 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 or lower. The over has hit in 22 of those games, giving them a 64.7% over percentage in those contests. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 22-20. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Taijuan Walker and the Phillies are hosting the Mets today. Walker has started the season with three straight wins, with his most recent start coming against the Marlins, where he went 6 innings, allowing 1 earned run on 8 strikeouts. He has given up 1 home run in each of his first two starts.
As a team, the Phillies are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. The Phillies have been a top-5 home run hitting team this season and are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging.
Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper have been the Phillies’ top two run producers this season. Bohm is batting .331 overall and has driven in 35 runs, which is 4th in the league. Harper is just behind him with 32 RBIs and is 4th in the league with 10 home runs. Bohm has gone 6/22 in his last five games, while Harper has gone 5/18 in his last four games. Harper also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Based on the money line, we see the Phillies taking this one by a score of 6-5. At -150, there is some good value in picking up a win for the Phillies.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Taijuan Walker is projected to finish with four strikeouts compared to Quintana, who is projected to finish with six.
Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with more hits than the Phillies, but the Phillies are projected to hit more home runs.
If you’re looking for a Mets vs. Phillies prediction, we have the Mets finishing with a 5-6 loss.
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Drew Smith | Out | Shoulder |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| David Peterson | Out | Hip |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Francisco Alvarez | Out | Thumb |
| Tylor Megill | Out | Shoulder |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
