New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 5/13/2024

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

At 7:10 from Citi Field in New York, we have an NL East matchup between the Phillies and Mets. Heading into Monday’s game, the Phillies have the best record in the division at 28-13, while the Mets are 19-20. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Phillies are the favorite on the money line at -123.

Sean Manaea will start for the Mets, and he is facing off against Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies. If you’re looking where to catch this one on TV, it can be seen on NSPPH.

Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Philadelphia Phillies odds

New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• The Phillies are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• In the Mets’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• The Phillies have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 5-5.
• The Mets have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Marlins scored one run in the bottom of the 10th to pick up the win. Philadelphia was the -214 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Zack Wheeler had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Nick Castellanos, who went 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Philadelphia is 28-13 overall and leads the NL East by two games over the Braves. The Phillies are 5-4 against other NL East teams and have won three straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 8-2-3 this year.

So far, the Phillies have been really good as the favorite, going 24-10, and they are 10-5 as the favorite on the road. Philadelphia has been tough to beat at night, going 18-6 this year. They have also been good on the road in general, coming in with a record of 13-6.

When the Phillies have won this season, they’ve done so by an average of 3.9 runs per game. In their losses, they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 21-20, including an 11-8 mark on the road. As the favorite, they are 17-17 vs. the run line, while they are 4-3 as the underdog.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been on a three-game over streak, with their combined run average sitting at 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 20-19, and they have played in 65.9% of their games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.22 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is 1.46, and opponents are batting .248 off him this year. In his seven starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Sánchez finished with the win in that outing. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.42 strikeouts and 3.72 walks.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.2 runs per game and batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have also been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, as they are 5th in the league in homers and have a collective slugging percentage of .424 (3rd). The Phillies have been even better in terms of getting on base, as they have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage at .336.

Over his last eight games, Bryce Harper has gone 11/30 with three homers and eight runs scored. Harper is also 1st on the team with nine homers but is batting just .261 for the season. Alec Bohm has been a consistent hitter all season, batting .338 with four homers and 32 RBIs, which is the top mark in the league. Bohm is also on a four-game hitting streak.

New York is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 win. This was especially big, as it allowed them to take the series vs. a tough division opponent. Going into the game, the Mets were the slight favorite at -112 on the money line. It was a good start for the Braves, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Mets scored three runs in the 3rd to take the lead and added another run in the 6th to close things out.

Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Mets’s offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo, who went 1/1 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Mets are 19-20 overall and trail the Phillies by eight games for the NL East lead. New York is 3-3 in divisional games and lost their most recent series vs. the Braves. So far, they are 10-12 at home compared to 9-8 on the road.

As the home underdog, the Mets are just 1-4 this year, and they have dropped two straight as the underdog overall. New York is an even 6-6-1 in series this year, and they are 4-6 over their last ten games.

When the Mets are favored, they are 8-12 against the run line. When they are underdogs, they are 11-8. Their overall run line record is 19-20. They have a run line losing streak when favored of two games. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, and in losing games, it is -2.8. Their overall run differential is 0.0 runs per game.

Despite the Mets’ recent under streak, the over/under line for their games has been set at 7.5 runs in 56.4% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 18-21 on the season. Their last three games have gone under the total, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.31. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s most recent outing came against the Cardinals, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking a loss. Manaea’s ERA at home is 5.51 compared to 2.48 on the road.

Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/18 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .234 with six homers, which is 3rd on the team. Nimmo’s 27 RBIs are the most on the team. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are also near the top of the Mets’ home run list, with Lindor having seven and Alonso nine. However, Lindor is batting just .214 this season, and Alonso is at .223.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .236 and have the league’s 11th ranked home run total. So far, they have been a good team at avoiding strikeouts.

With the Mets at +102 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. They are predicted to pick up a 5-4 win, and with the payout at +102, you could also look to take them on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sean Manaea finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Cristopher Sanchez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is 14th among starters.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Mets on the moneyline (+102)
• The Mets are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

New York Mets Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report