Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 5/12/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At 1:35 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Orioles will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and features a Diamondbacks club that is 18-22 compared to the Orioles at 26-12. Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles, and he is up against Zac Gallen for Arizona.

Right now, the Orioles are the betting favorite at -127, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Looking at the money line odds for the Diamondbacks, they are sitting at +106. Baltimore comes into this one with a three-game winning streak, and the Orioles are 14-4 at home this season.

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Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Diamondbacks are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Orioles have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 11th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Diamondbacks series. The Orioles scored one run in the 2nd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 11th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -158 on the money line.

John Means started for the Orioles, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out three. Craig Kimbrel got the win out of the bullpen, and Bryce Jarvis took the loss for the Diamondbacks. Ryne Nelson gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for Arizona.

At the plate, the Orioles were led by Jordan Westburg, who went 4/5 with an RBI. Ryan Mountcastle also had three hits and drove in a run. For the Diamondbacks, Ketel Marte hit the game’s only home run and went 1/4.

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is 18-22 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL West, 8.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Orioles 0-2. So far, they have gone 9-8 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 9-10 this year compared to a 9-12 mark on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 9-14 this year, and they are 9-8 when favored. Arizona’s overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have lost three straight series at home.

Arizona is 20-20 against the run line this season, with a scoring margin of +0.2 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 11-10, compared to 9-10 at home. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 13-10, compared to 7-10 as the favorite.

The Diamondbacks have played 38 games this season, and 31 of those games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 16-22. Their game today against the Orioles has an over/under line set at 8 runs, and their last game against the Orioles went over the line of 8.5 runs.

Through seven starts, Zac Gallen has a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.84. He has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 9.71 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gallen didn’t give up a run and got the win, going six innings vs. the Reds. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 1-2 and 4.95 on the road compared to 3-0 with a 0.60 ERA at home.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top two power threats this season, with Walker leading the team with seven homers and Marte right behind him with nine. Walker also has the team’s top batting average at .273. Over his last nine games, Marte has gone 9/36 with four homers and six RBIs.

The Orioles are 26-12 overall and lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Yankees. Baltimore has taken the first two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and have an overall series record of 8-3-1. So far, they have been really good vs. other AL East teams, going 6-1.

At home, the Orioles are 14-7 this year and have gone 12-5 on the road. Baltimore has been good in day games this season, going 13-5 heading into today’s matchup. As the home favorite, the Orioles have gone 13-6 this year, and they are 7-1 as the underdog.

When the Orioles win, they do it by an average of 3.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.2 runs per game. That’s why they are 22-16 against the run line this season. They are 12-9 against the run line at home and 10-7 on the road.

When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the over/under record for the season is 19-16. The average combined run total in their games is 8.8, but the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 4-2-1. So far this season, 71.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today and has been pitching well lately, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.57. So far, he has made seven starts and three of them have been quality starts. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is .97, and opponents are batting .189 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Kremer didn’t give up a run, going six innings and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 2.04 compared to 7.04 at home.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team and are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They are also one of the league’s top slugging teams, with a team slugging percentage of .445. Baltimore also has the league’s best isolated power number at .196. The Orioles have been very consistent this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game at home and 5.2 runs per game on the road.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Rutschman batting .306 with five homers and Henderson leading the league with 12 home runs. Rutschman’s 22 RBI’s is 4th on the team, while Henderson’s 27 RBI’s is good for 6th in the league. Anthony Santander has struggled with his batting average this season, hitting just .217, but he does have seven homers, which is 2nd on the team.

Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -127. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-4.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over/under, with the line being set at 8 runs. However, we see this one being close to the line, and our prediction would be to stick with the Orioles on the money line.

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report