San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
At 9:40 PM from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL West matchup between the Dodgers and Padres. The Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 8 runs. Los Angeles is 26-13 this season, and the Padres are currently 20-20.
SNLA will be televising Friday night’s game, and the Dodgers are sending Tyler Glasnow to the mound up against Michael King for the Padres. Los Angeles comes in with a winning streak of 7 games.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Padres have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- The Dodgers have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 8-2.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Padres have gone 6-4 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -267. Offensively, the Dodgers scored their three runs on six hits and only had one home run.
Gavin Stone put together a good start for the Dodgers, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk. Teoscar Hernandez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Los Angeles is on the road today to take on the Padres, and they come into the game having won seven straight, putting them at 26-13 overall. The Dodgers lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. So far, they have gone 7-4 in divisional games.
This season, the Dodgers have been really good at home, going 15-8. They have also been strong on the road, as they are 11-5 this season. Los Angeles has been really good in night games, going 17-6 so far. The Dodgers have been favored in most of their games, as they are 25-12 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Dodgers are 1-1 this year, and they are 11-4 as the road favorite.
When the Dodgers are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, going 10-6 so far this season. Their average run margin in those games is 2.2 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in four straight games as the favorite.
Los Angeles Dodgers games have had an average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-17. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 2-1. Overall, 82.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Through eight starts, Tyler Glasnow has a record of 6-1 and an ERA of 2.70. He has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs and picking up the win. In that start vs. the Braves, he had 10 strikeouts. This season, Glasnow has a total of 63 strikeouts, which leads the league. Looking back at his last three outings, he has allowed a total of four homers. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with a 1.70 ERA compared to 3.87 at home.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear for the Dodgers of late, going 10/21 (.476) with four homers in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .355 and has gone deep 11 times, which is 2nd in the league. Teoscar Hernández has also been swinging a hot bat for Los Angeles, as he has four homers in his last seven games and is batting .320 in this stretch.
As a team, the Dodgers lead the league in runs per game (5.5), and they have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .270, which is the best mark in the league, and also have the top on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS in the league.
Dylan Cease was excellent in his last start for the Padres, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 12 Cubs batters. San Diego’s offense was carried by Jake Cronenworth, who went 2/3 with a double, run scored, and RBI.
The Padres’s bullpen closed things out with Robert Suarez picking up the save. San Diego was the -138 favorite on the money line going into the game.
San Diego is at home today, hosting the Dodgers, who lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. So far, the Padres are 10-9 in divisional matchups and have an overall record of 20-20, which is 2nd in the NL West.
The Padres have won two straight games at home and are 8-12 at home this year. They have been better on the road, going 12-8. As the favorite, the Padres are 13-11 and 7-9 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 7-4-2, and they have won three straight series.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet this season, going 22-18 overall, but they have been much better on the road, where they are 16-4. They have covered the run line in each of their last two games at home, but overall, they are just 6-14 at home. They are 11-5 against the run line as an underdog this season, while they are just 11-13 as the favorite. The Padres’ average run margin this season is +0.4 runs per game, and they are 3.9 runs per game in wins and -3.1 runs per game in losses.
San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 21-18, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Dodgers is set at 8 runs. So far this season, 45.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, while 35.0% have had lower lines. The Padres have hit the under in their last two games, and their combined run average for the season is 9.5 runs per game.
San Diego is sending Michael King to the mound today, and he has made three quality starts this year. King’s overall record is 3-3, and he has an ERA of 4.29. In his most recent outing, he didn’t allow a run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .229 off King this year, and he has a BB/9 figure of 4.5 compared to 9.21 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the past eight games, Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar have been on fire for the Padres, with Cronenworth batting .382 with two homers and seven RBIs, and Profar has gone 13/31 with two homers and eight RBIs. Not only is Profar’s batting average of .328 3rd on the team, but he also leads the Padres with 27 RBIs, which is 8th in the league. Cronenworth and Profar are also on hitting streaks of 12 and six games, respectively.
As a team, the Padres are batting .260, which is 2nd in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in runs per game and on-base percentage. Overall, they are 8th in scoring at 5 runs per contest. At home, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league.
Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout being +144. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us a good amount of value with the money line.
Looking at today’s starters, Tyler Glasnow is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have Michael King ending the game with five. However, we have King finishing with a better line in terms of hits allowed, as he is projected to give up fewer hits than Glasnow.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Padres (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Glenn Otto | Out | Shoulder |
| Tucupita Marcano | Out | Knee |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Evan Phillips | Out | Hamstring |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
