Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 5/3/2024

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Preview

At 8:10 PM from Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have an American League matchup between the Mariners and Astros. Heading into Friday’s game, the Mariners are 17-14, while the Astros are 11-20. Ronel Blanco is starting for the Astros, and he is facing off against George Kirby for the Mariners.

Currently, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Mariners are the slight favorite on the money line at -102. Looking at the Astros, they have a money line payout of -119.

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Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Mariners in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Astros, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• Over the last ten games, Mariners has a record of 8-2 when playing as favorites and 4-6 when playing as underdogs.
• In their last ten games, the Astros have a record of 4-6 as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Braves scored four runs in the top of the 4th. Seattle was the +155 underdog at home going into the game.

Offensively, the Mariners only had two fewer hits than the Braves but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 3rd inning. Julio Rodriguez was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a double, run scored, and RBI. The Mariners also had three other players with two hits.

Seattle is 17-14 overall this season, good for 1st place in the AL West. They hold a half-game lead over the Rangers heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Astros. The Mariners are 2-1 in divisional games this year and have won two straight series.

The Mariners have been playing well lately, going 7-3 across their last 10 games. So far, they are 11-8 at home and an even 6-6 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mariners have gone 4-1 this year, and they are 11-7 overall as the favorite.

Seattle’s run line record is 15-16 overall and 6-6 on the road. The Mariners have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game on the season, and they have been favored in 18 games, going 8-10 against the run line in those contests. In their 15 wins, the Mariners have outscored opponents by an average of 3.1 runs per game.

Seattle’s games have been low-scoring affairs lately, as the under has hit in nine straight games. The Mariners’ games have averaged 6.9 runs this season, and their over/under record is 7-22. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 1-4-1, and the over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 25.8% of their games this season.

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 4.17. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his last outing, Kirby was fantastic, going seven innings vs. the Diamondbacks and not giving up a run. He finished with 12 strikeouts in that outing. Looking back further, he has allowed at least two earned runs in three of his last four starts. So far, he has made three quality starts. Per nine innings, Kirby is averaging 10.58 strikeouts and just 1.11 walks.

So far this season, the Mariners have been one of the league’s worst offenses, averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per game. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .219, and they are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out, averaging 10 K’s per game.

Julio Rodriguez comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .270, and he is also 2nd on the team with 11 RBIs. However, Rodriguez has yet to hit a home run this season. Mitch Haniger and Cal Raleigh are tied for the team lead in homers, with six apiece. Haniger’s 18 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.

Houston closed out their series vs. the Guardians with an 8-2 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. It was a big third inning for the Astros, as they scored seven runs in the inning. Houston’s offense was carried by Jon Singleton, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

Spencer Arrighetti got the start for the Astros and picked up the win. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up just two runs on four hits. Arrighetti also issued three walks and struck out six Guardians batters. Tayler Scott closed things out for the Astros, going 1 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run.

Houston is currently 4th in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by six games for the division lead. Overall, the Astros are 11-20 and have gone 4-3 against other teams in the AL West. The Astros will host the Mariners today, and they are 6-10 at home this year.

As for their overall record, the Astros are just 4-6 in their last 10 games and closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a win. So far, they have gone 2-3 as the underdog at home and are 9-17 when favored. Houston’s overall series record is 4-5-1 and have won two straight series.

When the Astros win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +5.3. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.7 runs. Their overall run line record is 11-20, with a -0.5 run differential per game. They are 6-10 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.6 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 8-18 against the run line, while they are 3-2 as the underdog.

The Astros’ over/under record for the season is 10-19, and the average over/under line for their games is 10 runs. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and the over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs just once this season, resulting in a push. The over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs just 2.9% of the time this season.

Ronel Blanco is getting the start for the Astros as they take on the Mariners at home. Blanco has been solid in his first three starts of the season, picking up a win in each of his last two outings. In his last start, he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 8, but gave up 2 runs on 5 hits.

Not only are the Astros the top home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the league’s best team batting average and are the top team in the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game (15th) and have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Heading into the game, Jose Altuve is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .352 for the season, while Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez have each gone deep seven times this season.

Over his last seven games, Kyle Tucker has gone 8/26 with three homers, and Jose Altuve has also gone deep twice in this stretch while batting .333. Jon Singleton has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/16 with two homers in his last five games. Jeremy Pena has a five-game hitting streak and is batting .346 in his last seven games.

Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line, with the payout being -119. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the payout being -119, there is some nice value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ronel Blanco is projected to finish with four strikeouts, and he is a much better option than George Kirby, who we have finishing with five K’s. Blanco is also projected to finish with a better ERA than Kirby.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• Take the Mariners on the moneyline
• The Astros are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Houston Astros Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

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