Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 5/3/2024

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At 6:10 PM from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an interleague matchup between the Orioles and Reds. Heading into Friday’s game, the Orioles have a record of 20-11, while the Reds are 16-15. Hunter Greene gets the start for the Reds, and he is facing off against Cole Irvin for the Orioles.

You can catch Friday night’s game on MASN, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. The Orioles are the slight favorite on the money line at -118. Looking at the odds for the Reds, they are at -101.

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Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• The Reds, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• In their previous ten games, the Orioles have recorded a 6-4 record as the favorite, while they have a 6-4 record as the underdog.
• The Reds have a 9-1 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 1-9.

Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, closing out their series with a 7-2 win. After allowing one run to the Yankees in the top of the third, the Orioles responded with a run of their own and added another two runs in the 4th inning. Baltimore went on to close things out with another three runs in the 5th.

Keegan Akin put together a good start for the Orioles, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and picked up the win. Baltimore’s offense was carried by Ryan Mountcastle, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

With an overall record of 20-11, the Orioles lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. This season, they have gone 6-1 in divisional matchups. The Orioles have been good at home this year, going 12-7, and they have gone 8-4 on the road.

So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 16-10. As for their games as the underdog, they are 4-1 this year. Baltimore has won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 7-3 this year. They closed out their series vs. the Yankees with three straight wins and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

The Orioles have a run line record of 18-13, with an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game. They are 11-8 against the run line at home and 7-5 on the road. As the favorite, they are 14-12, and as the underdog, they are 4-1. In their wins, they are averaging a margin of victory of 3.8 runs per game, while in their losses, they are losing by an average of 3.3 runs per game.

The Orioles have played in 28 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 16-12, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-3-1. Only two of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, which is just 6.5% of their games. The majority of their games, 23 of them, have had over/under lines set at less than 9 runs, accounting for 74.2% of their games.

Cole Irvin has been impressive in his first two starts of the season, as he picked up the win in each outing. In his last start, he went 7 innings and struck out 5 while giving up 4 hits. He has yet to allow an earned run this season, and he will be on the road against the Reds.

The Orioles offense has been one of the best in the league so far this season, as they are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.3 runs per game. Not only are they the top home run hitting team in the league, they also have the league’s best isolated power rating. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 6th in the league.

Adley Rutschman comes into the game with a batting average of .310, and his 18 RBIs are 3rd on the team and 11th in the league. Gunnar Henderson has been one of the league’s top power threats so far, as his 10 homers lead the league. He is also 5th in the league with 24 RBIs. Over his last six games, Ryan Mountcastle has three homers, but he is hitting just .250 over that stretch.

Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Padres with a 6-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Reds were the +121 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Reds, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Padres scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

Graham Ashcraft put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and not giving up a run. However, the Reds’ offense really struggled after the 1st inning, and Cincinnati’s bullpen gave up four runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. Spencer Steer hit a homer for the Reds but went just 1/4.

Cincinnati is 16-15 overall and trails the Brewers by 3.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds lost the final two games of their series vs. the Padres and are 1-2 in divisional games this year. At home, the Reds are 2-3 as the underdog and 10-4 as the favorite this year.

As the underdog, overall, the Reds are 6-11, and they are 7-8 on the road. Cincinnati’s overall record includes going 4-6 over their last 10 games. So far, they have been pretty good at home, putting together a record of 9-7.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 17-14. They have been even better on the road, where they are 9-6 against the run line. They have gone over the run line in two straight games as the favorite, and are 9-5 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +4.2, while it is -3.3 in losses.

The Reds have been trending towards the over, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 17-13, and they have hit the over in their last two games. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 0-3-1, but their games have had an average line of 9 runs. Overall, 54.8% of their games have had lines set at under 9 runs.

Hunter Greene is coming off a strong outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Rangers, he went seven innings, picking up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Greene has made six starts and has a record of 1-2. His ERA is 3.63, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Opposing batters are hitting .210 off the right-hander this season. Greene has one complete game and two quality starts. Overall, he has 42 strikeouts and is averaging 10.9 per nine innings.

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ 2nd leading hitter, batting .280 for the season, and he has been even better in terms of OBP, coming in at .389. De La Cruz also leads the team with eight home runs. However, he has gone just 4/20 in his last five games. Spencer Steer is also looking to get back on track, as he has gone just 4/20 in his last five games and is batting .252 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. So far, they are 9th in the league in homers and have the 7th best isolated power figure in the league. Currently, the Reds have three players on a hitting streak, with Jeimer Candelario, Spencer Steer, and Elly De La Cruz all having hits in four straight games.

Our prediction for today’s Orioles vs. Reds matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -118. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Cole Irvin is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has the Orioles finishing with 11 as a team. As for Hunter Greene, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, and the Reds with nine as a team.

Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-118)
• The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

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