Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
The Clippers and Mavericks are tied at two games apiece in this first-round Western Conference series. Game five is set for Wednesday night at 10:00 PM ET from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. TNT is carrying the game on TV. The Mavericks are favored by 3 points on the road and are -151 on the money line. The Clippers are +126, and the over/under line is 207.5 points.
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Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Mavericks and Clippers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Mavericks have a record of 2-1. The Mavericks also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 201 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- In their last three games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 93 points per game in these contests.
- Through their last five home games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 107 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Clippers have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
James Harden and Paul George both had 33 points in the most recent game of this Clippers vs. Mavericks series, as the Clippers came out on top 116-111. The Clippers jumped out to a 39-16 lead in the first quarter and held on to cover the spread as 7-point underdogs. The game also surpassed the over/under line of 209.5 points.
Irving had a big game for the Mavericks, scoring 40 points and knocking down six threes. Dallas shot 49.4% from the field, but the Clippers shot 62.1% from three-point range. Luka Doncic also had a triple-double for the Mavericks with 29 points, 10 assists, and 10 rebounds.
Dallas is favored by 3 points today against the Clippers. This season, the Mavericks have been favored in 66% of their games and have a record of 39-15 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have gone 34-20 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.6 points per game.
In terms of their O/U record for the season, the Mavericks are 38-48, and their games have averaged a combined 232.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 207.5 is lower than their season average of 233.9.
In their most recent game against the Clippers, the Mavericks lost by a score of 116-111. The O/U line for that game was 209.5, and Dallas was favored by 7 points going into the game, resulting in an ATS loss.
Overall, the Mavericks finished the regular season with a record of 50-32, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. Against Western Conference teams, they went 31-21 compared to 19-11 against the East.
On the road, the Mavericks have gone 26-17 straight up and 28-15 ATS. In their games away from home, they have outscored their opponents by an average of +0.5 points per game.
Dallas is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league this season, both in terms of attempts and makes. They are averaging 39.5 three-point attempts and 14.6 makes per game. The Mavericks’ three-point shooting percentage is 36%, which is 15th in the league. Luka Doncic is averaging 29 points per game in his last four games, while also averaging 9.8 rebounds and 8.5 assists.
For Kyrie Irving, he is averaging 28.8 points per game in his last four games. In these games, he shot 51.3% from the field and 48.5% from beyond the arc. Overall, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 8th in the NBA.
On the season, the Mavericks are giving up 115.0 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In their last five games, they have been slightly better, allowing 108.6 points per contest, which is 15th in the league during that stretch.
For the year, opponents are shooting 47.5% from the field against the Mavericks, which is 19th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better in that area, ranking 18th in field goal percentage allowed at 47.6%.
From beyond the arc, Dallas is 20th in made threes allowed per game at 13.1 and 20th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 37.0%. Over their last five games, they have been even worse from deep, ranking 30th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 42.9%.
Today, the Clippers are looking to win their second straight game against the Mavericks. In their last game, the Clippers won 116-111 as 7-point underdogs. The O/U line for that game was 209.5.
As the underdog, the Clippers have gone 7-15 this season. As for their ATS record as the underdog, they are 8-14 and 40-46 overall. The Clippers have also been the underdog in their last three games.
This season, the Clippers have an O/U record of 39-46-1. In their games, the average combined scoring is 226.8 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 207.5.
In the Western Conference standings, the Clippers are currently in 4th place with a record of 51-31. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 30-22 compared to 21-9 against the East.
At home, the Clippers have gone 19-24 ATS and have an average scoring margin of +3.0 points per game. On the road, they are 21-22 ATS with a scoring margin of +3.3 PPG.
Overall, the Clippers are the 12th ranked scoring offense this season, at 115.6 points per game. Their home scoring average is 114.7 points per contest, which is 15th in the league. Los Angeles has a below-average pace this season, averaging 96.6 possessions per game.
James Harden has been playing well for the Clippers of late, averaging 26 points per game in his last four games. In these games, he shot 54.1% from the field and 50% from beyond the arc. Paul George is averaging 21 points per game in his last four games while hitting 3.5 threes per contest. For the season, George is averaging 22.6 points per game, and Kawhi Leonard is averaging 23.7 points per game.
So far this season, the Clippers have been a solid defensive team, ranking 11th in the league in points allowed per game at 111.8. They have been especially good at defending the three-point line, holding opponents to just 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc, which is 14th in the league.
In terms of rebounding, Los Angeles has struggled a bit, ranking 21st in the NBA at 43 boards per contest. However, they have been able to generate turnovers, sitting 9th in steals at 7.8 per game.
Over their last five games, the Clippers have been even better on the defensive end, giving up just 104.2 points per contest, which is 7th in the league during that span. During this stretch, they have also been able to limit opponents to just 32.1% shooting from three-point range.
In spite of being 3 point underdogs, we anticipate the Clippers winning this one 119-117.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Clippers on the moneyline (+126)
- The Clippers are also our pick on the spread at +3
- Projecting a combined 236 points, we like the over
Los Angeles Clippers Injury Report
- Kawhi Leonard – Knee – Out
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Tim Hardaway Jr. – Ankle – Out
- Luka Doncic – Knee – Probable
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Ankle – Out
