San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
At 9:40 PM from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL matchup between the Reds and Padres. The forecast looks good, with clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. Cincinnati is 15-13 this season, while the Padres are 14-17.
Monday night’s starting pitching matchup features Nick Lodolo for the Reds and Matt Waldron for the Padres. Right now, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Reds are the slight favorite on the money line (-109).
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Cincinnati Reds odds
San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Reds in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Padres, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- Over the last ten games, Reds has a record of 8-2 when playing as favorites and 2-8 when playing as underdogs.
- 5-5 is the record of the Padres as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 3-7.
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the bottom of the 6th. Cincinnati was the +112 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Andrew Abbott got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. The Reds also wasted a big game from Jonathan India, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Cincinnati will be on the road today vs. the Padres, and they are 15-13 overall this season. The Reds dropped the final game of their series vs. the Rangers and are 2.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they are 1-2 in division games.
At home, the Reds have gone 9-7 this year and are an even 6-6 on the road. Cincinnati has won seven straight games as the favorite and are 10-4 overall as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, they are 5-9. The Reds’ series record is 4-4-1 this year.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 16-12 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 8-4 against the run line. Cincinnati has covered the run line in three straight road games and is 7-0 against the run line in its last seven games as the favorite.
When the Reds have played in games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over has gone 3-2. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 15-12. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and 64.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Heading into his 4th start of the season, Nick Lodolo and the Reds are on the road to take on the Padres. Lodolo has been dominant in his first two starts, picking up wins in each outing. He struck out 10 in his first start and then followed that up with 6 K’s in his last outing.
The Reds come into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 5 runs per contest. So far, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .219, which is 21st in the league, but they do have the 8th most home runs in the league.
Elly De La Cruz has been a big part of the Reds’ offense so far, as he is batting .281 with a team-high 7 homers. His 18 RBIs are also good for 2nd on the team and 10th in the league. De La Cruz comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Will Benson is also near the top of the league in homers, but he is batting just .200 for the season.
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with an 8-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the top of the 7th. San Diego was the -146 favorite at home going into the game.
Michael King had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Jake Cronenworth, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.
San Diego is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today as they host the Reds. The Padres are 14-17 overall, putting them 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional matchups. San Diego dropped the final game of their series vs. the Phillies and have lost three straight at home to the Phillies.
At home, the Padres are 6-11 this year and 8-6 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres are 5-8 this season, and they are an even 9-9 when favored. San Diego’s overall series record is 4-5-2, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 15-16 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 11-3 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 4-13 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-5 against the run line in those games.
When the Padres play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-14. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-4-1. Overall, 45.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, with 29.0% of their games having lower lines.
Coming off of a win in his last start, Matt Waldron will be on the mound for the Padres as they take on the Reds. Waldron has started 3 games so far this season, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 1 earned run. He has 18 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings pitched this season.
Over his last seven games, Jurickson Profar has gone 8/25, which includes a homer and five RBIs. Profar is also on a five-game hitting streak for the Padres. Overall, he is batting .303 for the season, which is 3rd best in the lineup. Jake Cronenworth and Manny Machado have also been swinging the bat well of late, as Cronenworth has gone 7/24 in his last six games, and Machado is 4/15 in his last seven games.
For the season, the Padres are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the league, and are also 5th in home runs. Currently, they have three players tied for 2nd in the lineup with four homers.
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout being -110. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Padres, and with the payout being close to even, this is the route we recommend going.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Lodolo finishing with six strikeouts, and for Matt Waldron, we have him finishing with seven. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at the over/under for strikeouts for these two, as we have both of them finishing with solid strikeout numbers.
San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Padres (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | Out | Neck |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Glenn Otto | Out | Shoulder |
| Tucupita Marcano | Out | Knee |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas | Out | Forearm |
| Tyler Stephenson | Questionable | Hand |
| Alex Young | Out | Back |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Wrist |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Noelvi Marte | Out | Suspension |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Questionable | Hand |
