Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Betting Tips 4/29/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview

At 7:40 PM from American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have an interleague matchup between the Rays and Brewers. Heading into Monday’s game, the Rays are 13-16, while the Brewers come in with a record of 17-10. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Brewers are the slight favorite on the money line at -116.

Starting for the Rays is Ryan Pepiot, and he is facing off against Bryse Wilson for the Brewers. Milwaukee comes in with a winning streak of three games, and they are currently in first place in the NL Central.

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Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• The Rays are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Rays have a record of 4-6, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
• The Brewers have a 7-3 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 4-6.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the White Sox scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Tampa Bay was the -148 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Zack Littell was excellent for the Rays, going six innings and giving up just two runs on eight hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Rays’s offense was carried by Isaac Paredes, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Tampa Bay is on the road today vs. the Brewers, having dropped three straight games. The Rays are 13-16 overall and trail the Yankees by six games in the AL East. So far, they are 3-4 in divisional games this year.

The Rays have dropped three straight games in their series vs. the White Sox. This season, the Rays are 4-5 as the road favorite and 10-13 as the favorite overall. Tampa Bay’s series record is 3-4-2 this year.

When the Tampa Bay Rays are the underdog, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 4-2. However, they have been favored in 23 games and have gone just 6-17 on the run line. Their overall run line record is 10-19, and their average run margin is -1.1 runs per game.

The Tampa Bay Rays have played 29 games this season, and 11 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record in those games is 6-5. Their combined run average for the season is 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 17-12. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game.

Ryan Pepiot is on the mound for the Rays as they take on the Brewers. Pepiot has been solid in his first three starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing vs. the Angels. He has 22 strikeouts in 18 innings of work and has only given up 7 hits so far this season.

So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a little better at home (3.8 RPG) than on the road (4.2 RPG). As a team, they are batting .244, which is the 12th best mark in the league, and they have the 11th most home runs in the league.

Isaac Paredes has been the Rays most consistent power threat this season, as his seven homers are 4th in the league. He is also hitting .275 overall and has gone 7/22 in his last five games with two homers. Amed Rosario and Richie Palacios have also been swinging the bat well for the Rays, with Rosario batting .320 and Palacios hitting .311. Rosario has two homers, and Palacios has three.

Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 15-5 loss. The Brewers were the +114 underdog at home going into this game. Things started off well for the Brewers, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored three times in the top of the first.

Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Milwaukee’s offense scored their other four runs in the 4th inning but didn Yankees scored seven times in the 6th to put things out of reach. Jake Bauers was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Milwaukee’s overall record is 17-10 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Rays, and they lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees after taking the opener. So far, they have gone 7-3 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Brewers are just 5-6 this year but have been really good on the road at 12-4. The team has been great in day games, going 10-3 this season. As the underdog, the Brewers have dropped two straight, and they are 9-6 overall as the underdog. Milwaukee’s series record is 5-2-2 this year.

When the Brewers are at home, they have been a poor bet against the run line at 2-9. Their average run margin in home games is -2.1, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games. When they are the underdog, they have been a good bet at 9-6 against the run line.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over has hit in 12 of their 16 games this season. Their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 17-10 on the season. The over has hit in four straight games, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Tampa Bay Rays is set at 8.5 runs.

Brewers starter Bryse Wilson has made two starts and eight appearances this season. He is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Wilson’s ERA on the road is 12.23 compared to 2.92 at home. Most recently, he faced the Pirates on April 24th, where he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, three walks, and a homer. Wilson finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had not given up a homer in three straight outings. The right-hander has allowed four homers this season.

William Contreras has been the Brewers’ best hitter this season, batting .352 with a team-high 22 RBIs and five homers. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last six games. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich have also been solid this season, with Hoskins leading the team with six homers and Yelich batting .333.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th ranked home run hitting team and have the 4th best team batting average in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -116. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5.1 to 5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryse Wilson is projected to go the longest out of any starter today, and we have him finishing with three strikeouts. As for Ryan Pepiot, he is projected to finish with five K’s and go six innings.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips

• Take the Rays on the moneyline
• The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report